$BTC Things have gone wrong... Rumor has it that Trump will launch a ground invasion of Iran! The fighting could last another few weeks. Will the market crash at Monday’s open? Let’s take a quick look.

1. Trump finally stopped pretending and revealed his fangs. The war has escalated from remote strikes to ground combat, and the conflict is expected to extend another 3-4 weeks. His previous talk of “peace talks” or “ending the fight soon” now seems like a joke. Will the market plummet at Monday’s open?

2. I think the probability is quite high. Think about it—if the fighting continues for another month, and the crypto market and US stocks fall for another month, retail investors might find it more profitable to sell early and still get a good price. So, the escalation of the war could cause some investors to change their previous outlook, and Monday’s market might not look optimistic.

3. But I want to remind everyone, Trump remains a variable. Remember what Trump did when the conflict started on the 9th? He was just talking nonsense! He claimed the war would end soon, causing oil prices to drop from 118 to 80, and crypto and US stocks to surge. So, I have no reason to be bullish on Monday, only to be cautious of Trump’s tricks.

4. However, I personally think this won’t have much impact on us because our trading strategy is not to chase short positions. We can short at 74,000 and 70,000; why chase at 66,000? We need to seize the trend early, not wait until it’s almost over to start shorting.

5. So, our strategy is not to chase shorts but to wait for a significant rebound before shorting again. Even if Trump is ranting on Monday, it still gives us a chance to short at higher levels because, in the long run, the market will eventually fall. His short-term influence on the market can’t hide the fact that the war continues to be a bearish factor.

6. Regarding specific trades, I mentioned yesterday that a rebound around the previous low of 65,600 might happen, and now we’re looking at around 67,000. It’s really reached that level, and as shown in the chart, we also shorted here—very good move.

7. Additionally, I’ve placed a short order below the more stable resistance at 68,000. When it hits, I’ll short, with a stop-loss set properly, aiming for a small loss to gain a larger profit. It’s also a short position backed by resistance levels—definitely worth trying. I’m not a “guaranteed profit” trader, but my overall win rate is very high. I monitor the market in real-time, and when a good opportunity arises, I open positions aggressively!