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The overall intraday trend shows a pattern of initial consolidation, followed by weakening, and then accelerated decline. From midnight to early morning, Bitcoin repeatedly fluctuated above 71,000, with fierce battles between bulls and bears. However, multiple attempts to break through were unsuccessful, and the upward momentum gradually diminished, causing the market to oscillate and trend downward from high levels. In the afternoon, as key support levels were broken, bearish sentiment rapidly intensified, leading to continuous declines. During the evening, increased volume pushed prices lower, with the lowest touching around 68,500, clearly shifting the intraday focus downward. Ethereum's trend was even weaker, oscillating around 2180 in the morning with repeated rebounds that failed to sustain. In the afternoon, it also weakened, and after a brief rally, it accelerated downward, breaking below 2100 and briefly dropping toward 2050. The overall rhythm resonated with Bitcoin's downward movement. Based on the early morning signals of "weak rebounds and obvious resistance," the intraday strategy was decisively centered around short positions, gradually entering short orders at resistance levels. As the afternoon structure broke and the evening accelerated decline continued, the short positions were further amplified, successfully capturing the main downward space. Every day, the market repeats the same cycle—eliminating hesitant traders and rewarding decisive ones. You can make mistakes, but you cannot ignore the rhythm.
It is clear that the current structure is very straightforward. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum remain in a short-term bearish trend, with the market showing lower highs and weakening rebounds. Each rebound struggles to reclaim key resistance zones, indicating that funds prefer to take profits at high levels rather than accumulate. The 69,700–70,000 area above Bitcoin has become a short-term strong resistance zone, while support below, as discussed in tonight’s live broadcast, is around 68,000. For Ethereum, resistance is clearly at 2080–2100, with the 2030 level acting as a short-term dividing line—breaking below would further open the downside space. From a cyclical perspective, there are no signs of effective stabilization; instead, it looks more like a consolidation phase during a downtrend. In terms of operation, the main approach remains to short on rebounds, avoiding contrarian long positions. Wait for a rebound to resistance levels to gradually enter short positions, follow the trend rather than oppose it. The current market is a phase for trend followers to realize profits. #稳定币去利息化博弈升温 $ETH $BTC