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The intraday cryptocurrency market continues to surge, with bullish momentum showing no signs of slowing down. Bitcoin's price broke through the 73,000 level and continued to push higher, reaching a high of 73,473, currently hovering around the 73,000 mark. It is moving sideways. Ethereum is also moving in tandem, successfully breaking above 2,150, with a high of 2,165. From a macro policy perspective, the recent rally is mainly driven by improved macro policy expectations, with positive sentiment from the Trump administration's push for the CLARITY Act continuing to ferment. Derivatives data shows that Bitcoin's open interest remains high, and leveraged funds are still actively positioning. In my intraday strategy, all long positions arranged around key support zones have been successfully secured, with profits steadily booked, once again confirming the trend-following trading logic. Meanwhile, the market's short positions have experienced two consecutive days of bloodshed, with liquidation amounts hitting recent highs. The market is filled with despair; those who missed out watch the continuously new high candles with mixed feelings—fear of a pullback when chasing highs, and fear of missing out when not chasing, leading to a gradually unbalanced mindset.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's current trend has reached near the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with the 4-hour moving average system maintaining a bullish divergence. Notably, the RSI indicator's 6-period value has risen to 82.4, entering the overbought zone above 80, indicating a short-term technical correction may be needed. The support zone below has moved up to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands; as long as this area is not broken, the mid-term rebound structure can continue. Regarding Ethereum, the price is closely following the upper Bollinger Band, with RSI6 reaching 81.75, also in the overbought zone, indicating significant short-term correction pressure. Support below has moved up to around 2100; if a pullback occurs, this level will serve as a key support zone. Overall, although the mid-term bullish trend remains unchanged, short-term indicators have signaled overbought conditions. Trading strategies should still focus on going long, but chasing highs is not advisable. Wait for a pullback to stabilize before entering on dips. Bitcoin can look for stabilization signals around 72200-72500 for entry, targeting 73500-74500. Ethereum can seek long opportunities near 2100-2115, with targets of 2180-2210. #比特币反弹 $BTC