When you've run hundreds of signals with the Polymarket Paper strategy and the win rate looks good, should you go live?

My judgment is simple: first, figure out what the profitability depends on.
If it's based on "guessing the right direction," then the paper's win rate isn't very meaningful—slippage and emotions in real trading can change everything. But if it's based on structural advantages—being naturally less costly than your opponents in a market—then this edge won't disappear just because you go live.
After understanding this, going live only requires controlling three things:
- Minimum position verification. No need for large funds, just confirm that the live trading logic matches the paper. Placing the first order and executing within 30 seconds is enough.
- Strict risk management. Some orders, even if triggered by signals, are skipped if execution conditions aren't right. Better to earn less than to take unnecessary risks.
- Capital segregation. Use a separate account for new strategies, so they don't compete for resources with existing ones. If one encounters issues, it won't affect the others.
Next, run for a week and see real data.
I've been studying and learning strategies on Polymarket. If you're interested, you can check it out: