#贵金原油价格飙升

I believe the market has now moved beyond pure technical analysis and entered a violent phase dominated by "geopolitical premiums."

· Gold (XAU): This morning, it broke through the previous high strongly and is currently oscillating around 5380. In the short term, 5380-5400 USD is the first resistance zone. If it can stabilize above this level, then the Mendeleev-level 5500-5600 USD is not impossible. However, the gap below at 5320-5340 is a significant hidden risk. In this kind of market, the risk-reward ratio for chasing highs isn't very ideal; I prefer to wait for a pullback confirmation before considering entering.
· Crude Oil (WTI): The move through the Strait of Hormuz was too aggressive. If the blockade continues, concerns about a supply vacuum could push prices toward 80 USD or even above 85 USD. But I must remind you: if the situation suddenly eases (for example, if the US temporarily restrains), the accumulated geopolitical premium could evaporate quickly, like a tide going out. Referring to the "Venezuela event" scenario mentioned by Gate Research Institute, the pullback could happen faster than expected.

2. About Gate TradFi Layout: 7x24 Hours First-Mover Strategy

Many friends asked me whether I have a layout in Gate TradFi. Honestly, I’m very glad I didn’t stay idle over the weekend.

In the past, when faced with sudden "black swan" events on weekends, we could only stare blankly, waiting for Monday’s opening—either the market would take off immediately or blow up on the spot. But this time was different. When the news broke on Saturday night, I immediately opened Gate’s TradFi section.

My operation review:

1. Chased crude oil first: The traditional markets are closed over the weekend, but Gate TradFi’s crude oil contract (XTIUSD) is tradable. Seeing the news of the Strait blockade, I knew a major supply issue was coming. The price hadn’t fully taken off yet, which shows the power of 7*24-hour trading.
2. Didn’t go heavy on gold: Although gold surged today, I only built a small position over the weekend. Because on Saturday night, gold experienced a double whammy of long and short squeezes, with excessive volatility, making it impossible to hold a large position.
3. Avoided Bitcoin: This time, I didn’t buy BTC for "hedging." It proved that during a real crisis, capital should prioritize the old reputation of gold rather than "digital gold."