【$AR Signal】Oversold Rebound Sniping: 1H Level Volume Rebound, Short Squeeze Play Under Negative Funding Rate

$AR At the 1H level, a double bottom was formed in the 1.489-1.492 range, followed by a volume-driven rally on the latest hourly candle, with a bullish engulfing pattern preceding a temporary bottom structure. Although the 4H level remains in a downtrend channel, the price has moved far away from the moving averages. The RSI on the 1H (37.82) and 4H (32.16) are both in oversold territory, indicating a strong technical rebound demand. The key point is: the price has dropped nearly 10%, but open interest (OI) remains stable, and the funding rate is negative (-0.0159%). Combined with significantly stronger buy order depth compared to sell orders (bid_ask_ratio_depth: 1.48), there is potential for a short squeeze.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

⚡Entry/Order: 1.525 - 1.530

🛑Stop Loss: 1.485

🚀Target 1: 1.580

🚀Target 2: 1.620

🛡️Trading Management:

- Execution Strategy: Reduce 50% of the position after reaching Target 1, and move the stop loss up to the entry price of 1.525. Trail the remaining position for profit-taking; if the price falls below the 1H EMA20 (currently 1.5539), exit all positions.

(Depth Logic: Market logic suggests “Price decline, please consider position size to determine whether it’s a long liquidation or main force distribution.” Current data favors the former: the price has dropped sharply but OI remains stable (not significantly decreasing), and the order book shows buy depth far exceeding sell depth (depth imbalance 19.46%), indicating large funds are absorbing orders below, not purely main force offloading. Under a negative funding rate environment, short positions incur higher costs, and a rebound can easily trigger a short squeeze. The 1H RSI shows initial divergence at the bottom, with buying power accumulating. )

View real-time quotes 👇 $AR

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