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Israel Launches Attack on Iran, Crypto Market Crash — Live Market Breakdown (Feb 28, 2026)

The crypto market is reacting in real time to one of the most serious geopolitical escalations we’ve seen in years. As Israel launched what officials described as a preemptive strike on Iran, and the United States announced major combat operations, global markets immediately shifted into risk-off mode. Crypto, as expected, absorbed the shock almost instantly.

Geopolitical Escalation Shakes Global Markets

According to reports, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz confirmed that Israel carried out early strikes against Iranian targets and declared a nationwide state of emergency in anticipation of retaliation involving drones and ballistic missiles. Shortly after, U.S. President Donald Trump announced “major combat operations” against Iran, citing missile threats and nuclear concerns.

This marks a significant escalation in Middle East tensions. Whenever uncertainty reaches this level, capital rotates defensively. Investors de-risk first and ask questions later — and crypto is often among the most sensitive assets during these moments.

Bitcoin Breakdown Confirmed

Bitcoin delivered the technical breakdown many traders were watching. After consolidating inside a triangle structure, price closed decisively below support and is now sitting in the 62,800 to 64,000 dollar range — the first major demand zone.

The situation is technically clear:

* If Bitcoin holds above this zone and reclaims it on strong closes, we could see consolidation between 62.8K and 66K.
* If price sustains below this level, 60K becomes the next psychological and structural support.
* A loss of 60K opens the path toward the 53K region in a broader corrective structure.

At the same time, open interest remains elevated at approximately 20.5 billion dollars. High leverage near key support increases liquidation risk, meaning volatility expansion is likely. Exchange netflows show roughly 522 BTC leaving exchanges, suggesting quiet spot accumulation, but derivatives positioning still keeps the market fragile.

In short, the market is sitting inside a high-risk liquidity pocket.

USDT Supply Surpasses 180 Billion Amid Crisis

Interestingly, while prices fall, stablecoin dynamics are expanding. Tether’s USDT circulating supply has now surpassed 180 billion dollars. At the same time, Tether has frozen approximately 4.2 billion dollars in illicit funds historically, with 3.5 billion blocked since 2023. This week alone, nearly 61 million dollars linked to pig-butchering scams were frozen with assistance from the U.S. Department of Justice.

The expansion of USDT supply during volatility often signals rising demand for stable liquidity as traders rotate out of risk assets. It reflects capital preservation behavior rather than aggressive speculation.

My Perspective on the Current Crash

This is not just a technical pullback. It is a geopolitical shock layered on top of already fragile macro conditions.

When you combine:

* Escalating military conflict
* Elevated derivatives leverage
* Persistent inflation concerns
* Delayed interest rate cut expectations

You get a market that is structurally vulnerable to downside spikes.

That said, moments of extreme fear tend to create inflection points. If Bitcoin stabilizes above 60K, this could eventually be remembered as a geopolitical shakeout within a larger cycle. But if 60K fails, the probability of a deeper retracement increases significantly.

Right now, the market is in defense mode. Volatility is expanding. Liquidity is thin. And traders are watching key levels very closely.

In environments like this, risk management matters more than prediction.
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