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[Mid-Career Retail Investor Self-Help Guide · Daily Report February 27]
Last night, the bears were squeezed once, but the bulls didn't have time to pop the champagne, and BTC pulled back. The current market feels like a cold shower after a hangover—waking you up with a bit of a shiver.
₿ Crypto Circle: Truth Revealed: The recent surge last night was essentially caused by $400 million in short positions being liquidated, forcing forced closures, not a genuine influx of buyers. The bears were wiped out, and the price naturally collapsed.
My view: As long as BTC cannot hold above the key resistance level of $68,500, all rebounds are just “water pumping.” The 66k level is awkward—pressure from above but no strong support below. Don’t open high-leverage positions at this point; such sideways trading kills impatient traders.
📈 A-shares: “Passing the Drum and Passing the Flower” Above 4100 Points
Latest close: Shanghai Composite rose 0.39% to close at 4162.88 points. Compared to the wild surge before the holiday, today’s pace is noticeably slower, with volume shrinking to 2.5 trillion yuan.
Logical analysis: The market has shifted from broad gains to differentiation. Funds are retreating from lithium and rare earths, moving into high-dividend blue chips for safety.
Operational logic: Above 4100 points, everyone is watching who will be the first to withdraw. Since the main theme is the AH discount recovery, and public funds are still moving south, instead of chasing high A-shares, it’s better to pick up some cheap chips in Hong Kong stocks.
🇺🇸 US Stocks: AI Logic Begins “Aesthetic Fatigue”
Nvidia (NVDA): The stock price is oscillating around $145 . Although the earnings report from Huang’s camp was not bad, the market’s appetite for AI has changed.
The trend has shifted: The current logic is “AI + Energy.” Wall Street is frantically buying power stocks. The simple logic: no electricity, what AI to run? So nuclear power and smart grids have become new “safe havens.”
🌐 Macro: Hold Your Breath and Wait for the “Deadline” Trump’s Tariffs: Trump is still threatening global tariffs at 15% on social media. This uncertainty is the biggest dark cloud over risk assets.
Iran’s “10-Day Deal”: The countdown Trump announced expires today. Although no sparks have appeared yet, the “maximum pressure” drama is still ongoing, with big funds buying insurance.
Gold: Domestic gold shop quotes have surged to a historic high of 1570 yuan/gram (roughly $2,910/ounce). As long as chaos persists, gold remains the only truth.
🍄 Retail Investor Conclusion:
The current market is most afraid of “assuming the worst.”
Don’t assume that a rebound means a bull return;
Don’t assume that 4100 points is a firm bottom.
Current strategy: Since AI has lowered the information production threshold to zero, you must maintain deep thinking. Instead of obsessing over BTC at 66k, think about which assets can help you survive the cycle if tariffs really rise to 15%.
Today’s motto: Position size is confidence, cash is dignity. As long as you still have bullets, we’re not afraid of BTC at 60k. Keep holding, refuse to tinker. 🍜