Full position or wait and see first?

The first trade of the day, is it a ritual or a litmus test?
The full-position camp believes: momentum must not be lost! The year's plan starts in spring, and the position strategy is about pushing forward. As long as the direction is correct, being early is an advantage.
The wait-and-see camp remains calm: holiday volatility just passed, emotions are still unstable, so let's observe the volume and structure for a couple of days first. The market is not a sprint; it's a marathon.
I lean more towards a "probing entry." The first trade doesn't aim for huge profits, just to verify judgment. Is the coin you're watching because of improved fundamentals? Rising narratives? Or a breakthrough in technical patterns? If it's just because "it feels like it will go up," that's not a reason; that's fate.
Truly mature trading starts with asking yourself three questions:
1. What is the logic?
2. What if you're wrong?
3. Is the risk-reward ratio worth it?
Full position isn't bravery; it's giving up the right to choose. Waiting isn't weakness; it's giving yourself more information.
The coin you focus on at the start of the day doesn't have to be immediately heavily invested, but you must write down your reasons. After three months, you'll realize that more important than price fluctuations is whether your decision-making is becoming clearer.
The first wave of good news in the Year of the Horse may not come from the market, but from you finally taking responsibility for your own positions. #马年开工第一帖