$AAVE Signal】Bull-Bear Battle, Waiting for 1H Level Direction Decision



$AAVE The 1H level is oscillating narrowly below EMA20 (126.02), with prices compressed within a small range of 125.6-126.5. Trading volume is extremely thin, indicating a typical pre-breakout sign. The 4H level remains in a downward channel with a rebound correction, but EMA50 (124.74) provides strong support. Currently, the bulls and bears are temporarily balanced, requiring a volume-spike candlestick to break the deadlock.

🎯Direction: Watch(Pending Orders)

⚡Order Strategy:

- Bull Breakout Order: If the price stabilizes above 126.50 with increased volume, go long (Reason: Breakout of the 1H oscillation upper boundary and EMA20 resistance).

- Bear Breakout Order: If the price effectively drops below 125.00, go short (Reason: Break below key 4H support, confirming the continuation of the downtrend).

🛑Stop Loss:

- Long Position: 124.80 (Reason: Break below 4H EMA50 support and previous low).

- Short Position: 126.80 (Reason: Break through 1H oscillation range and stand above EMA20, invalidating the bearish structure).

🚀Target 1:

- Long Position: 128.80 (Reason: 4H previous high resistance).

- Short Position: 122.50 (Reason: Previous low support zone).

🚀Target 2:

- Long Position: 131.50 (Reason: Larger cycle resistance on 4H).

- Short Position: 120.00 (Reason: Psychological round number and lower boundary of previous dense trading area).

🛡Trading Management:

- Position Size: Light. Reason: The trend is unclear, and this is a breakout battle with higher risk.

- Execution Strategy: After any breakout, if the price cannot sustain within 15 minutes or quickly retraces below entry, exit immediately. After reaching Target 1, move stop loss to breakeven.

Deep Logic: Market depth shows sell orders (125.8-125.98) significantly exceeding buy orders, indicating slight selling pressure. However, Open Interest (OI) remains stable and does not decrease with price drops, suggesting that neither bulls nor bears are exiting in large numbers, and major players are waiting for the right moment. The 1H RSI (47.91) is in a neutral to weak zone, with room for upward correction. The core contradiction is between the 1H shrinking oscillation and the 4H downtrend, awaiting market direction.

Trade here 👇 $AAVE

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