$ETH Signal】Long - 4H breakout retest confirmation, main force clearly intends to support the market



$ETH On the 4H timeframe, the price has strongly broken through the previous consolidation zone upper boundary (~2050), and is currently consolidating at a high level after the breakout, which is a healthy retest. Although there is no data on the 1H timeframe, combined with the 4H candlestick analysis, the latest volume-increasing bullish candle has a full body, indicating active buying. Open interest remains stable, the fee rate is neutral, with no short squeeze risk. The upward movement is mainly driven by genuine buying.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

🎯Entry/Order: 2065 - 2070 (Reason: 4H breakout retest zone, EMA20_4H dynamic support )

🛑Stop loss: 2035 (Reason: Break below the low of the 4H bullish breakout candle and EMA50_4H support )

🚀Target 1: 2115 (Reason: Previous wave high resistance level )

🚀Target 2: 2170 (Reason: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, based on recent wave )

🛡️Trade management:

- Position size suggestion: Standard position (Reason: Clear structure on the 4H timeframe breakout, favorable risk-reward ratio )

- Execution strategy: After the price reaches 2115, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss to entry price. Hold the remaining position to aim for the second target; if the price retraces to breakeven, exit all.

Deep logic: Market logic indicates an upward trend. Combined with stable open interest rather than a sudden surge, it rules out a short squeeze, resembling an orderly push by the main force. Market depth shows a large sell order at the first level (2076.64) with 123.884 units, forming short-term resistance, but there is also dense buy support around 2076.5. The 4H RSI is at 60.73, in a healthy bullish zone, with room to move higher. ATR is 39.45, making the stop loss space reasonable.

Trade here 👇 $ETH

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