This week is packed with macro events: U.S. non-farm payroll data, US-Iran negotiations, and the Japanese elections, all of which could significantly impact market liquidity and risk appetite. Although Bitcoin has recently rebounded, market sentiment remains cautious, and short-term volatility may increase.

Key Data
BTC 24-hour increase of 1.29%, but daily volatility reaches 4.83%.
The Fear and Greed Index is at 14, indicating extreme fear, suggesting investor sentiment is quite tense.
MACD and moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with short-term downward pressure still present, but the price is near support levels.
Market Sentiment: Some sectors like Meme are clearly declining, but BTC itself is "moving against the trend," showing safe-haven capital inflows.

Professional Analysis
Geopolitical and policy events like US-Iran negotiations and the Japanese elections, if any unexpected developments occur, could trigger rapid fluctuations in global risk assets, including BTC.
Economic indicators such as non-farm payrolls and US CPI influence Federal Reserve rate hike expectations. If the data is abnormal or global capital sentiment fluctuates, BTC often experiences sharp swings.
Meanwhile, the extreme fear index indicates that the market remains in a high-risk, high-uncertainty phase. Funds tend to favor assets with liquidity and safe-haven attributes, so BTC's short-term performance is relatively resilient but also prone to "buying the dip" or "short squeeze" phenomena. The daily chart shows support around $70,355; whether this level can hold in the short term is crucial.

Investment Advice
Short-term trading should focus on range-bound oscillation, paying attention to support near $70,355 and resistance between $71,069 and $73,000. If the price breaks through, quick stop-loss is necessary.
For medium to long-term positioning, consider deploying in phases, patiently waiting for extreme fear to subside before adding positions, and beware of macro events causing extreme market movements.
During high volatility periods, strictly set stop-losses to avoid chasing highs or engaging in "all-in" trades.
Risk Warning
This week is filled with macro events; any sudden negative or positive news could cause sharp short-term fluctuations in BTC. Be vigilant against gaps and liquidations.
The fear index is very high, and the volume-price relationship shows "volume increasing, price falling," so watch out for capital fleeing and secondary dips.
Stay alert to various economic data and international news changes, avoid relying on a single event for judgment, and maintain flexibility and calmness in operations.