SOL Overall Analysis: Price Trend: Starting from the high point around 148-150 USD in early 2026, the price has been continuously retracing. Recently, a large bearish candle with increased volume near 128 USD accelerated the decline, with the lowest touching the 111-115 USD range (your screenshot shows the latest price at 115.05-115.19 USD, real-time market confirms around 115 USD). The overall downward channel is intact, breaking through multiple key supports (122, 120, 117), with weak rebounds, and the bearish trend has accelerated completely, showing no signs of reversal. Time Frame: The screenshot mainly shows daily/4H charts, indicating a medium-term bear market structure, with short-term oversold rapid decline (TD Up2 signal is only a technical correction). Marked '9', '13', 'Red 9' etc. confirm top selling pressure, currently in the continuation phase of decline. Technical Indicators: MA/EMA: All moving averages are dead-crossing downward, with the price far from the moving averages, indicating a strong bearish alignment. RSI: Deeply oversold in the 20-30 range (around 24-28), short-term slight rebound possible, but no bottom divergence, so the trend remains unchanged. MACD: Dead cross expanding, green bars persistent, DIFF/DEA gap widening, indicating strong downward momentum. Volume: Declining volume during the decline is obvious (leverage liquidations + panic selling), volume shrinks during rebounds, with bears fully in control. Market Environment: The crypto market remains under pressure in 2026 (BTC oscillating and declining around 82k, real-time around 82-84k USD), SOL beta is high (1.5-2x), amplifying the decline. Fundamentals: TVL remains stable but cannot withstand technical and emotional selling pressure, panic sentiment dominates on X (Twitter) (discussions of chain reactions of liquidations). Risks: Deep oversold conditions may lead to a dead cat bounce (liquidation stop-loss sweep), but if volume recovers above 120, caution is needed. However, the probability is low; currently, following the trend to short offers excellent risk-reward. My Recommendation: Strongly short SOL/USDT Reason: Accelerating bearish trend, volume breakouts + indicator resonance, oversold conditions only offer short-term correction opportunities, with the overall direction dominated by bears. The real-time market confirms the price around 115 USD, with further downside potential. Entry Strategy: Short directly at around 115 USD, or wait for a small rebound to 117-118 USD to add to the short position. Stop Loss: Set above 120 USD (former support turned resistance), risk control at 3-4%. Take Profit: Partial profit at first target 110 USD, then 105-100 USD (deeper extension targets). Position Size: Recommend 10-15% of total funds (trend is strong, can increase moderately), leverage 5-10x (be cautious of volatility, do not go full position).

SOL-5,46%
BTC-5,66%
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