January 25, 2026 SOL Technical Analysis (as of 12:00, UTC+8)

- Current Price: approximately $126.5 USD, weak consolidation intra-day, leaning bearish, awaiting direction.
- Key Conclusion: Short-term oscillation is bearish, with critical support at 125/120, resistance at 129/133; until a volume breakout occurs, focus on range-bound high selling and low buying.

Key Price Levels (USD)

- Support 1 (Strong): 125 (Intraday low / Short-term dense trading zone)
- Support 2 (Strong): 120 (Psychological threshold / Mid-term lower boundary)
- Support 3 (Strong): 118 (Previous low / Trend support)
- Resistance 1 (Strong): 129 (Intraday high / Short-term resistance)
- Resistance 2 (Strong): 133 (Former support turned resistance)
- Resistance 3 (Strong): 145 (Mid-term upper boundary / Multiple highs)

Indicators and Patterns

- Daily: Price below EMA50(130), in the downward channel since mid-January, mid-term bearish.
- 4H: RSI(14)=41-43, neutral leaning weak; MACD below zero line, bearish momentum not exhausted, no obvious divergence.
- 1H: Narrow range oscillation, declining volume, significant bullish-bearish divergence, awaiting direction.

Trading Strategies

1. Short-term: Light long positions at 125-126, stop-loss at 124.5, target 128-129; light short positions at 128-129, stop-loss at 129.8, target 126-125.
2. Mid-term: Break below 120 with volume, follow the trend to short, stop-loss at 121.5, target 118-117; stabilize above 133 with volume, go long, stop-loss at 131.5, target 140-145.
3. Risk Management: Position size ≤20%, strict stop-loss; low liquidity over the weekend, avoid heavy positions, monitor US market volatility.

Risk Warning

- Macro: Federal Reserve policies, BTC correlation risk, may trigger liquidity contraction and selling pressure.
- Technical: Weekly bearish signals not yet解除, breaking below key support may accelerate downward movement.