On 2026-01-24 13:55 (UTC+8), BTC price is approximately $89,800 USD, with a 24-hour range of 88,500-91,200, a slight decline of about 0.3%. Trading volume is sluggish, with a daily bear flag consolidation. The following are actionable strategy plans.



1. Core Key Levels (Priority Order)

- Support: 88,500 (intraday strong support / oscillation lower boundary), 87,000 (mid-term key), 85,000 (strong defense)
- Resistance: 90,800-91,200 (intraday), 94,000 (previous high pressure)
- Range Anchoring: 88,500-91,200, maintain oscillation with high shorting and low longing until volume breakout occurs.

2. Indicator and Structural Signals

- Daily RSI around 45-50, neutral leaning weak, no oversold, gradual weakening without panic selling
- 4h MACD bearish momentum weakening, green bars moderate, no emotional panic selling, leaning towards range retracement
- Daily KDJ probing mid-low levels, weakening downward momentum, rebounds mainly technical repairs, not trend reversals
- Volume shrinking, insufficient buying pressure, testing selling pressure, high probability of continued oscillation

3. Long and Short Trigger and Execution Strategies (including Entry/Stop Loss/Take Profit)

- Bullish Strategy (Breakout Type)
- Trigger: Volume breakout above 91,200 (4h close confirmation, volume ≥ 1.5 times 20-day average)
- Entry: Long at 91,200-91,500
- Target: 93,000 (reduce position by 50%) → 94,000 (full exit)
- Stop Loss: below 90,000, single position ≤ 3%

- Bearish Strategy (Breakdown Type)
- Trigger: Drop below 88,500 with volume increase (4h close confirmation, volume ≥ 1.5 times 20-day average)
- Entry: Short at 88,500-88,200
- Target: 87,000 (reduce position by 50%) → 85,000 (full exit)
- Stop Loss: above 89,500, single position ≤ 3%

- Oscillation Strategy (Buy High, Sell Low)
- Range: 88,500-91,200, quick in and out, avoid holding positions
- Low Long: Long at 88,500-89,000, stop loss at 88,000, target 90,000-90,500
- High Short: Short at 90,800-91,200, stop loss at 91,500, target 89,800-89,500
- Risk Control: single position ≤ 3%, risk-reward ratio ≥ 1:1.5, strict stop loss

4. Position and Risk Control Rules

- Total position ≤ 50%, single strategy ≤ 3%, avoid heavy bets on direction
- In oscillation markets, hold short-term positions for 4-12 hours to prevent sudden breakouts
- If 4h volume breakout/breakdown occurs, execute corresponding long or short strategy without reversing positions
- During macro events or sudden news, pause opening new positions, observe and confirm direction first

5. Risk Reminder

- Chips concentrated areas involve intense battles; beware of trap setups for both longs and shorts, confirm signals with volume increase and closing line
- Market volatility linked to macro or sudden news can trigger breakouts; implement proper risk controls
- The above is technical analysis and does not constitute investment advice.
BTC-0,19%
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