Looking at this through classic deal-making mechanics: the aggressive opening position serves as a negotiation tool—maximal demands create leverage and establish urgency before talks begin. It's theatrical positioning designed to shift the baseline.

Here's the thing though: beneath the surface noise, this particular dispute doesn't appear structurally complex. The economic mechanics are straightforward, and both sides have clear incentive alignment once negotiations actually start.

Timing-wise, watch the Davos economic forum window. That's when serious back-channel conversations typically intensify. By then, expect meaningful progress on resolution. The public posturing now? It's the opening act—the actual deal-making usually happens away from the spotlight.