2026-01-17 08:27:09

Can Solana on-chain DEX trading volume surpass leading CEXs by the end of the year?

This question has sparked heated discussions in the market. Based on current trend analysis, the trading volume of decentralized exchanges within the Solana ecosystem is growing rapidly. Some believe that, if the current growth rate continues, the trading volume of Solana on-chain DEXs could overtake the CEX trading volume of a leading centralized exchange by the end of the year.

What does this reflect? On one hand, the performance advantages of the Solana network are gradually becoming apparent, with fast transaction speeds and low costs attracting more traders; on the other hand, market acceptance of decentralized trading is increasing. However, achieving this prediction still depends on multiple factors—market liquidity, the quality of ecosystem projects, user growth, and other key variables.

In any case, this growth momentum within the Solana ecosystem is worth close attention.

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BlockchainWorker

· 6h ago

To be honest, SOL's recent surge is a bit outrageous, but I still find it uncertain whether it can truly surpass CEX. --- DEX liquidity has always been a bottleneck. Fast and cheap isn't enough. --- If you ask me, this is just a noise in the market cycle. Don't take it too seriously. --- Solana is indeed fast, but retaining traders is the real key. What do you think? --- It's a bit early to boast. Let's see when the real large transactions come in. --- Performance advantage ≠ market share. Don't confuse these two logics. --- Surpassing by the end of the year? I bet five SOL this is uncertain.

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ForkTrooper

· 16h ago

To be honest, SOL's recent moves are quite impressive. The TPS surpassing others definitely attracts many people, but can it surpass CEX? That depends on whether the liquidity can keep up; otherwise, it's just talk on paper. Here we go again, every time saying something will happen before the end of the year, and then having to wait until next year. I just want to know if the real big players will actually place large orders on on-chain DEXs. That’s the key, right? The quality of projects in the SOL ecosystem is still uneven. Don't just look at the trading volume growth; you need to see if the depth is sufficient. I'm not confident. Anyway, I'll wait and see. I don't want to get caught off guard.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 16h ago

I've seen this linear extrapolation approach too many times. Last year, they said Luna would double, the year before, they claimed some coin would surpass BTC, but what happened? Once the supply line breaks, no matter how steep the growth curve is, it will crash.

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OnChainDetective

· 16h ago

Wait, is this growth curve really linear? I analyzed on-chain data last night, and those large transfers over the past few days were concentrated at three institutional addresses. The timing of the surge in transaction volume is too coincidental... I don't rule out the possibility of whales pushing the market behind the scenes.

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AlgoAlchemist

· 16h ago

This is the true direction of Web3. CEXs are gradually being phased out. SOL has really taken off this time, with performance advantages fully showcased. Whether or not it surpasses by the end of the year is secondary; the trend of DEXs is unstoppable anyway. I heard liquidity is still in the accumulation phase; the real breakout will happen when there are more good projects. To be honest, those who still trust CEXs now are a bit outdated.

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DAOdreamer

· 16h ago

This round of SOL is indeed fierce, but it's a bit optimistic to think it can surpass CEX. Wait, is there really enough liquidity? Everyone talks about fast speed and low cost, but it depends on whether it can really be achieved. Before the end of the year? I bet five bucks it won't.

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orphaned_block

· 16h ago

I think this matter is quite uncertain. Although SOL is fast, if it really wants to surpass major CEXs... the liquidity is still far behind. --- It's the same old rhetoric, always saying what will happen this year, what next year, but in the end, it all depends on project teams to keep injecting liquidity. --- Speed and transaction fees are indeed competitive, but what about trading depth, slippage? These are the core issues. --- The SOL ecosystem is booming, but I'm worried it might just be a wave of false prosperity. Let's wait and see. --- Aren't you optimistic about DEX? Then why are large transactions still happening on CEXs... Honestly, it's a trust issue. --- Surpassing them by the end of the year? I think it's better not to boast. Just maintaining the current growth rate is already good. --- Low cost and fast speed are definite advantages, but how sticky the users are is really hard to say.

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