#数字资产市场动态 Market Sudden Change Signal! Fed Chair Nominee Shifted, 2026 Rate Cut Expectations Cut Off

Today, the core trigger for the crypto community's frenzy comes from a statement in Washington. The change in Trump's attitude toward the Fed Chair nominee directly shattered market hopes for easing—initially favored dovish candidates were met with cold reception, while more hawkish contenders became the new favorites.

The quickest reaction came from Wall Street. CME futures data overnight showed a dramatic shift: the probability of zero rate hikes in 2026 jumped to 11.8%, while the chance of cuts exceeding 25 basis points fell below 70%. In other words, the market's overall expectation for liquidity easing next year has halved.

This is a short-term shock for crypto assets. Ultimately, the rise and fall of digital currencies depend on global liquidity expectations—tightening liquidity causes hot money to flow out. This policy signal shift indicates that funding conditions will become tighter.

How to respond? Here are some practical suggestions:

**1. Control Risk Exposure**
Increased volatility is highly likely. High leverage in this environment is equivalent to self-destruction. Reduce position sizes and leverage to leave room for maneuver.

**2. Stick to Certainty**
During panic, funds tend to flock to leading assets like $BTC and $ETH, while concept coins and small-cap tokens are more easily crushed. Playing small coins can be very painful at this time.

**3. Wait for Clear Signals**
Finalization of the Fed Chair nominee and macroeconomic data releases are turning points. No need to rush; missing this wave means there will be another.

The macro environment is becoming more complex, but opportunities often hide within volatility. The key is not to be blinded by short-term emotions.