#市场周期与价格预测 After watching these three industry giants' prediction "car crashes," I actually feel relieved — this precisely validates my long-standing follow-trade logic: never bet all your chips on a single prediction; even the most authoritative voices are just references.

The gap between Saylor's 150,000 and actual performance, Tom Lee's cut from 250,000 to 100,000, Hayes openly admitting "predictions are quite poor"… these are not failures but lessons from the market teaching us a simple truth — price prediction is a game of probabilities, not certainty.

The biggest takeaway from my years of following traders is: don’t follow predictions, follow their risk management skills and real-time adaptability. Those who can flexibly adjust their positions based on market changes and are good at cutting losses often earn more steadily than those who stick rigidly to predictions. Market cycles are real, but they never follow anyone’s timetable.

This prediction deviation actually gives us an opportunity — observing how traders handle their positions after their predictions fail is the real signal worth following. Some will stubbornly hold on, others will cut losses and switch strategies in time; the difference lies in this mindset.