What exactly is a contract? Simply put, it's a game of probability.

When you don't understand anything, winning and losing are evenly matched, just like flipping a coin. But here's the problem—once you start learning technical analysis, reading candlestick charts, studying position distributions, and pondering the ratio of longs to shorts, and memorize a bunch of professional terminology, you'll realize a harsh reality: the market is full of carefully designed traps. Every indicator you learn, every rule you follow, just happens to be tools used by big funds to hunt small retail investors. The result? Your win rate doesn't improve; it sharply drops below 50%.

So instead of exhausting your brain analyzing everything, it's better to go with your gut and just do it randomly. Repeated trial and error, paying tuition repeatedly, and occasionally catching a moment when courage and luck favor you—that's true victory. In markets like Ethereum and Bitcoin, sometimes "not overthinking" is actually the smartest strategy.