2026-01-17 05:22:44

Friends watching the market, here’s something interesting.

The 1-hour chart has been quite intriguing these past couple of days — Bollinger Bands have narrowed to the extreme. The upper band is at 95779, the lower band at 94234, and the middle band at 95298, with the price hovering right around the middle band. Such extreme compression usually indicates only two possibilities: either a quiet before a big move, or the market maker is brewing some major action. The MACD indicator is also starting to show some signs; although a bullish crossover hasn't occurred yet, the underlying momentum is already surging.

Even more interesting is the on-chain data. These days, it’s been eerily quiet. Large wallets aren’t making significant moves, and inflows and outflows on exchanges are quite stable, which suggests that real capital is also waiting. Waiting for what? For that trigger point to arrive. The news sentiment is currently in a vacuum, but honestly, markets are often most dangerous when news is scarce — because the market will find its own direction.

From a technical perspective, this extreme compression at the end of a triangle pattern, once a direction is broken, usually results in a substantial move. Historically, such clear compression patterns have led to explosive breakouts. The current resonance signals and cyclical patterns are pointing in one direction, with the bulls’ strength quietly accumulating.

In the short term, the key is the direction of this breakout. The market is gathering energy; the longer the consolidation, the more intense the impending explosion. Keep a close eye on this level — a big move could be just around the corner.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

21 Likes

Reward
21
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

LadderToolGuy

· 9h ago

Bollinger Bands so compressed, it's definitely not a good sign. Feels like if it's going to break, it will break directly, with no warmth at all. --- Again with this dull trend, let's wait for some news to wake things up. Looking at it now, it's really annoying. --- On-chain data being quiet is hard to say if it's good or bad. The whales might be holding back a big move, or maybe there's really no one left. --- Haha, history tells us that extremely compressed movements tend to explode violently, but my account tells me that losing money is the most dangerous. --- Isn't the triangle breakout just a myth? Every time, I never get to see that breakout day. --- Accumulation by the bulls? I think the bears aren't idle either. Who knows where this will go. --- Vacuum state is the most dangerous. This is said every time, and every time I step on a landmine.

View OriginalReply0

NoStopLossNut

· 01-17 16:46

The Bollinger Bands have already been pushed to the top, and this rhythm makes me a bit restless, just waiting for that trigger point. We've seen this kind of extreme compression pattern a few times before, and it usually doesn't end peacefully. The on-chain data has been very strange these past two days; big players are staying silent, and it feels like the market is holding back a big move. The bulls are gathering strength in the shadows, just waiting for the right moment to break out. Once they move, it could be a big wave. The middle band does provide support, but the real question is whether it will go up or down—that's the most confusing part. Looking at the cycle patterns, all resonance signals point to the bulls, although the MACD hasn't yet crossed into a golden cross, but the underlying currents are definitely there. Historically, such compression patterns tend to explode quite fiercely, so let's just wait and see. In a vacuum state, the market is the most dangerous; it's either accumulating energy in a good way or, in less flattering terms, eating you up without leaving any bones. Focusing on this position, it really feels like a big move is just around the corner—it's just a matter of who can hold back first.

View OriginalReply0

ForkInTheRoad

· 01-17 05:59

The Bollinger Bands are about to break, it feels like we're just waiting for a trigger now, don't blink. Wait, is the on-chain data so quiet? It's a bit scary. Historical patterns suggest the breakouts are exaggerated, but who knows what the whales are thinking. Keep a close eye on the middle band, I bet it breaks above the upper band. A news vacuum is the most dangerous; this is when you're most likely to get cut.

View OriginalReply0

GraphGuru

· 01-17 05:52

Bollinger Bands reached this position, I feel like it's about to explode --- It's the same compression theory again, every time they say a big move is imminent, but what happened? --- On-chain data is quiet, that's the most terrifying part, funds are holding back --- The midline has been lingering for so long, either a sharp rise or a sharp fall, pick one --- Waiting to see the breakout direction, feels like there will be some movement today --- Have all those compression patterns in history really exploded? I remember many just being false alarms --- Big wallet addresses haven't moved, indicating they are also uncertain, who dares to bet? --- Accumulation by the bulls? I think the bears are also accumulating --- The five-dollar issue doesn't need to be so mysterious, just break it or push it, and it's done --- Let's talk about the breakout when it happens, it's a bit early to discuss the direction now

View OriginalReply0

GateUser-a5fa8bd0

· 01-17 05:51

Bollinger Bands pressed to this level, either pull up or smash down, nothing good in the middle Wait a few hours, this is the real deal for hard cash On-chain so quiet, feels a bit off Where's the promised golden cross? MACD is still dithering This kind of compression pattern is a collection of gambler's mentality The big players are about to burst from below, they'll move sooner or later Everyone is waiting for a signal, but the market is creating its own direction, hilarious Historical patterns, 90% of the time unreliable, but the remaining 10% can wipe you out Are the bulls accumulating? I think they're digging a trap The longer the consolidation, the more intense the gunpowder smell, or does it mean no one dares to really move? The breakthrough direction determines everything, choosing wrong means going all in without a return

View OriginalReply0

New_Ser_Ngmi

· 01-17 05:32

Bollinger Bands dead pressure, even big players are pretending to be ostriches. This feels like the eerie calm before the storm, waiting to be hit. Honestly, I've seen this extreme compression several times—either a sharp surge or a direct crash through, with no middle ground. The vacuum period is the most dangerous; no one knows who will strike next, and that's the scariest part. Can't sleep, have to stay alert at this point, feeling like a big move could happen at any moment. Historical data tells us that the more tightly pressed, the more violent the breakout, but the question is, who can accurately catch that moment of breakthrough? MACD hasn't even crossed yet, just waiting idly? That's a bit uncomfortable. The bulls are gathering strength in the shadows, and the bears aren't fools either. Who will win this tug-of-war in the end is still uncertain. Looking at this pile of data, I feel numb—just waiting for that moment.

View OriginalReply0

CountdownToBroke

· 01-17 05:32

The Bollinger Bands are narrowing to this point, it's really unsettling, feels like it's about to explode. This silence is too strange, all the funds are holding back a big move. History has shown us this pattern before; once the level is broken, it's no small matter. I'm betting on an upward move; the bulls have been accumulating for so long, it can't be for nothing. It feels like a big trend is coming, everyone hold tight.

View OriginalReply0