#比特币2026年行情展望 Regarding the trend of $BTC in 2026, I think a conservative estimate should be in the range of $90,000 to $150,000. This judgment is mainly based on observations from several aspects:

First, viewing Bitcoin as a special digital asset, its value depends on three core factors. One is changes on the supply side — in 2024, Bitcoin will undergo its halving, and the newly mined coins will become increasingly scarce, which is like stepping on the brakes. By 2026, the daily new supply will significantly decrease, but institutional investors (such as large funds holding BTC spot ETFs) will continue to accumulate, leading to a noticeable tightening of supply. Historical patterns show that 12-24 months after a halving cycle, there is usually an opportunity for price increases.

Second, the macro liquidity environment. If in 2026 the global economy still faces pressure, and central banks continue to cut interest rates and release liquidity, abundant funds in the market will accelerate into risk assets like Bitcoin, supporting its price. Conversely, if the economy overheats and central banks tighten policies, investors will become more cautious, making the market more challenging.

From a medium-term perspective, the overall tendency is bullish. A trading strategy to consider: entering around the 90,000-91,000 range, with a stop-loss at 88,000, and gradually targeting levels at 100,000, 105,464, and 110,000.

In summary, there are several possible scenarios for BTC in 2026:

The most likely scenario is moderate bullishness — if the global economy remains stable, and Bitcoin’s fundamentals show positive signals, the price could be active in the $150,000 to $250,000 range.

A more conservative scenario is economic pressure — if global growth momentum weakens and BTC lacks new application breakthroughs, the price may test the $80,000 to $150,000 range repeatedly, requiring more patience.

The key is not to precisely predict a specific point, but to understand that 2026 is likely in the latter half of a four-year cycle, and volatility is normal. More important is to focus on Bitcoin’s actual application progress and long-term fundamentals, as these are the decisive long-term signals.