Will ASP's $1.24 million tokens unlock in a week, and will it cause a dump this time?

Aspecta (ASP) will experience a major token unlock in one week. According to data from the Web3 asset data platform RootData, approximately 25.18 million ASP tokens will be unlocked at 10:00 AM Beijing time on January 24th, with a current valuation of about $1.24 million. This represents a significant supply pressure that warrants market attention.

Unlock Scale and Schedule

The tokens involved in this unlock account for roughly 9.4% of the current circulating supply. Considering ASP’s total supply is 1 billion tokens and the current circulating supply is only 268 million (circulation rate 26.82%), the proportion of tokens being unlocked is still relatively significant.

Project Fundamentals and Recent Hotness

ASP launched in July 2025 and is currently ranked 939th by market cap, valued at approximately $13.16 million. From its price performance, ASP has maintained an upward trend recently, with a 24-hour increase of 1.07%, a 7-day increase of 5.46%, and a 30-day increase of 11.32%. This indicates that there is still market enthusiasm for the project.

Notably, the ASP platform recently launched the Prediction Market Opinion project, which is quite popular on Aspecta. According to the latest data, pre-market trading volume for Opinion has reached $2.5 million, with a fully diluted valuation of about $940 million. This level of interest could provide some support for the ASP token.

Potential Impact of the Unlock

Supply Pressure Analysis

The unlock of 25.18 million tokens will increase market supply in the short term. If these tokens flood into trading markets shortly after unlocking, it could exert downward pressure on the price. However, the actual impact depends on several factors:

• The identity of the token holders (early investors, team members, ecosystem partners, etc.)
• The schedule of the unlock (whether tokens are unlocked in batches)
• Market acceptance and trading depth

Market Absorption Capacity

Based on the 24-hour trading volume, ASP’s average daily trading volume is approximately $6.619 billion (this figure seems unusually high and may be a data display issue). Even with a more conservative estimate, such a scale of unlock is generally manageable for projects with sufficient trading volume.

Key Points to Watch Moving Forward

From now until January 24th, investors should monitor several signals:

• Whether the enthusiasm for the Opinion project can be sustained
• ASP’s price performance before the unlock
• Changes in trading volume and position structure
• Any official announcements regarding the unlock schedule

Summary

The upcoming token unlock for ASP is an event that warrants careful attention but does not necessarily warrant excessive panic. The tokens involved are worth about $1.24 million and amount to roughly 25.18 million ASP, representing 9.4% of the circulating supply. While there may be short-term supply pressure, recent project enthusiasm—especially around the Opinion project—suggests that market demand for the ASP ecosystem remains. The key is to observe the actual flow of tokens post-unlock and the market’s genuine reaction.