Hints from Trump regarding Federal Reserve personnel adjustments have triggered a chain reaction in the financial markets. U.S. Treasury prices have sharply retreated, traders quickly adjusted their expectations for rate cuts, and the two-year Treasury yield broke through 3.61%, reaching a new high. This 180-degree turn has shifted the market from previous optimistic expectations of rate cuts to concerns about tightening policies.



Wall Street's attitude best illustrates the issue. Analysts who were originally confident about two rate cuts this year have lowered their expectations in the face of strong employment data and the potential appointment of a new Federal Reserve chair. Morgan's economic team has already implied that rate cuts are basically unlikely, while BTG Pactual analysts bluntly stated: market trading logic has shifted from "betting on rate cuts" to "preparing for rate hikes." The weak performance of short-term interest rate futures contracts reflects traders' pragmatic considerations.

For cryptocurrencies, there is indeed short-term pressure. Rising interest rates typically suppress the performance of risk assets, and digital currencies, as high-risk assets, are no exception. But history shows that Bitcoin and other crypto assets are resilient. Every policy shock is accompanied by opportunities for technological iteration and ecological improvement. Innovative projects in the altcoin space continue to emerge, and the underlying logic of decentralized finance remains solid.

No matter how the Federal Reserve leadership adjusts, the pace of the crypto technology revolution will not slow down. The ecosystem being built is an alternative beyond traditional financial constraints. Every market adjustment is a good opportunity for re-evaluation and re-strategizing.
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ApeWithNoFearvip
· 21h ago
Coming back with this again? No more rate cuts, now rate hikes are here, and we're the ones getting cut anyway. But on the other hand, isn't this the opportunity to buy the dip on altcoins? History always repeats itself.
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GateUser-a5fa8bd0vip
· 21h ago
Here comes the plot reversal of rate cuts again, this routine is really quite frequent. The big players say no more rate cuts, and I wonder why some people are still chasing high. During rate hike cycles, buying coins indeed requires careful thought, but isn't this panic-driven dip also a pretty good opportunity? History just keeps cycling this way; every time they say coins are no good, but what happens... Anyway, I don't buy Trump's approach, let's see how it goes. Rising interest rates do make coins uncomfortable, but in 2024, who still questions the logic of decentralization? The cycle law is just the cycle law; if you endure it, you'll be a true hero.
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TokenStormvip
· 21h ago
3.61%? I monitored this data on-chain yesterday, and the whale addresses are again heavily buying long-term government bonds, clearly betting on continued rate hikes. However, the risk factor for this wave deserves a perfect score. A surge in the two-year government bond, backtested against the past three years' data, shows a correction potential of 28-42% each time. I'm currently in the eye of the storm, staying put. As soon as the term "policy tightening" was mentioned, altcoins immediately collapsed, but technical bottom signals are also forming... Hey, it's tempting. The dream of rate cuts has been shattered. I’m too familiar with how Wall Street folks look now. Last year, interest rate futures also fell like this, but what happened? They reversed again. History always rhymes. The short-term arbitrage opportunity is right there; it all depends on who dares to take the final step.
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PumpStrategistvip
· 21h ago
3.61% hits a new high, this pattern is now confirmed. Chips are concentrating upward, a typical risk release signal. Those guys on Wall Street, two weeks ago they were still talking about rate cuts, now they’re changing their tune to rate hikes—only at this level. Short-term pressure is high, but this is exactly the time to reallocate. History will repeat itself.
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