Forecast Market Polymarket latest data sparks market attention. Hasset's probability of being nominated as Federal Reserve Chair has fallen to 15%, tying with Federal Reserve Board member Waller, while Kevin Woor's nomination probability has surged to over 60%, making him the current top favorite, far ahead of other contenders.

The turning point in the situation occurred today. Trump made a remark when discussing current White House National Economic Council Director Hasset—"We will see if he continues in his current position." This wording is quite interesting, implying that his preferred candidate for Fed Chair might be someone else. The market's intuition is sharp, and expectations have adjusted accordingly, shifting from the previous "Hasset and Woor split the field" scenario to Woor taking the lead.

Interestingly, before Trump's statement, Hasset had already expressed his opinion. He said, "Woor and Rieder would also be great Fed Chairs." This statement sounds like an endorsement for his competitors, but it is more likely that he already knew Trump's final decision.