๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜€, ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜†. Across prediction markets, wallets are loading US--Iran strike scenarios in short windows (Jan 14--16). $3--5k per date. High convexity (6--7x). At the same time, broader time-window

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