A trader achieved a $1,200 profit on a prediction market weather sector with an initial capital of only $7 — and this was not luck, but systematic professional skill.

Looking through his complete account data is quite interesting: out of 1,530 prediction trades, 96% were in the weather market, with a total accumulated profit of $27,800. This is not short-term lucky fluctuation, but the result of long-term disciplined execution.

Most notably, this guy really understands meteorology. Not just the kind of understanding that comes from opening a weather app, but a professional level that involves mastering weather models, understanding weather interval judgments, and being proficient in probability calculations.

His trading style is extremely disciplined — the core strategy is to only position at very low prices. This humble approach, waiting for the best opportunities, in some ways reflects the typical traits of professional traders: not pursuing high trading frequency, but focusing on the quality of each trade.

In derivatives markets, repeated discipline + deep domain understanding often determine the final PnL more than luck.