Why do I like using prediction markets? To put it simply, they are the most straightforward options trading tools.

For example: Bitcoin is now at 90K. You expect it to surge significantly in the next month and want to bet that it will reach 120K? Traditional options involve hefty fees and complex contract details. But prediction markets are different—they allow you to place direct bets, and probability calculations are very straightforward.

In this scenario, the probability of reaching 120K is usually below 2%. But that’s exactly where the opportunity lies. As the price begins to slowly climb, market expectations gradually adjust, and the odds of early positioning become extremely favorable. No need to understand complex Greeks, IV volatility, or other stuff—prediction markets let you focus on a simple question: Will it happen? If yes, how much am I willing to bet?

This is a user-friendly trading method for retail investors.