The true test of a financial system has never been during peaceful times. Only those systems that can survive "black swan" events are truly resilient.
Managing stablecoin lending protocols with billions in assets, the most common concern among users is: in the event of a crash like March 12, 2020, or the extreme market collapse of LUNA in 2022, will the system collapse outright? History cannot be replayed, but we can analyze its public mechanisms to see which designs are truly protecting users.
Let's consider an extreme scenario: Bitcoin and Ethereum are halved within 24 hours, market panic selling causes liquidity to evaporate instantly. How does the system withstand?
**The first line of defense comes from the collateralization ratio.** Most protocols require a minimum collateral ratio of over 150%, with many users proactively raising it to 200% or higher. This means that only when the collateral value drops by more than 33%-50% will liquidation be triggered. In a halving scenario, only those positions that greedily maintain the minimum collateral ratio will be liquidated first, while most cautious positions still have buffer space.
**The second line of defense is the liquidation mechanism.** When a position hits the liquidation threshold, the system auctions off the collateral to repay the debt. The key here is—liquidation is not a panic sell, but an auction with a discount. Liquidators can profit from the discount, and as long as there is room for profit, they are incentivized to participate, acting as liquidity backstops for the market. Even if prices plummet, risks can be managed in an orderly manner, avoiding a cascade of forced sales.
**The third line of defense involves oracles.** In extreme market conditions, delays in price data can become critical triggers for risk. If oracles react too quickly, they might execute liquidations at the most illiquid moments, exacerbating the risk. A reasonable delay design provides liquidators with enough reaction time, giving the market a chance to regain rationality.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
16 Likes
Reward
16
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
SquidTeacher
· 9h ago
In plain terms, the betting system won't collapse, but when it comes to moments like 3·12, no one can save you.
View OriginalReply0
CommunityWorker
· 9h ago
The collateralization ratio as a safeguard sounds good, but when a sharp decline actually happens, who would still bother to manually adjust? Most people would have already panicked.
View OriginalReply0
BridgeNomad
· 9h ago
yeah the oracle delay thing hits different after watching how many bridges got rekt by stale price feeds... sounds clean on paper but yeah, seen too many "reasonable delays" become attack vectors when liquidity actually dries up. what's the liquidation incentive look like when spreads widen 500bp+? that's where theory meets reality ngl
Reply0
NervousFingers
· 9h ago
Basically, it still depends on who can buy the dip first; only when the liquidator profits from the price difference can the system survive.
View OriginalReply0
DecentralizedElder
· 10h ago
Basically, it's just about betting that the liquidation person won't run away.
The true test of a financial system has never been during peaceful times. Only those systems that can survive "black swan" events are truly resilient.
Managing stablecoin lending protocols with billions in assets, the most common concern among users is: in the event of a crash like March 12, 2020, or the extreme market collapse of LUNA in 2022, will the system collapse outright? History cannot be replayed, but we can analyze its public mechanisms to see which designs are truly protecting users.
Let's consider an extreme scenario: Bitcoin and Ethereum are halved within 24 hours, market panic selling causes liquidity to evaporate instantly. How does the system withstand?
**The first line of defense comes from the collateralization ratio.** Most protocols require a minimum collateral ratio of over 150%, with many users proactively raising it to 200% or higher. This means that only when the collateral value drops by more than 33%-50% will liquidation be triggered. In a halving scenario, only those positions that greedily maintain the minimum collateral ratio will be liquidated first, while most cautious positions still have buffer space.
**The second line of defense is the liquidation mechanism.** When a position hits the liquidation threshold, the system auctions off the collateral to repay the debt. The key here is—liquidation is not a panic sell, but an auction with a discount. Liquidators can profit from the discount, and as long as there is room for profit, they are incentivized to participate, acting as liquidity backstops for the market. Even if prices plummet, risks can be managed in an orderly manner, avoiding a cascade of forced sales.
**The third line of defense involves oracles.** In extreme market conditions, delays in price data can become critical triggers for risk. If oracles react too quickly, they might execute liquidations at the most illiquid moments, exacerbating the risk. A reasonable delay design provides liquidators with enough reaction time, giving the market a chance to regain rationality.