2026-01-14 14:00:33

#数字资产市场动态 Seeing the sharp rise of $BTC this morning, many people in the group asked me what was going on. To be honest, that rapid upward movement in the early hours looked quite powerful, but my judgment is—this is more of a typical "capital game + sentiment-driven" move rather than a trend reversal signal.

The background is simple: the market has experienced repeated rounds of volatility and compression, with long and short positions already piled up high, just waiting for a spark. The main players happen to strike during the least liquid periods, using not too much capital to create intense fluctuations—shorts are immediately stopped out, and retail traders chasing the rally flood in. Ultimately, this is a reshuffling of chips, purely a technical position adjustment, with no fundamental or medium-term trend change.

During the daytime? The market shifted to sideways consolidation, which is the "relief phase" after a rally. Selling pressure is gradually released, and funds wanting to chase hesitate again, bringing longs and shorts back to equilibrium. The price oscillates within a narrow range. This rhythm feels very familiar—it’s a typical pullback after a surge, not a continuation of a strong uptrend. How does a real trend start? Volume continues to grow, with each wave reaching higher structures, but currently, the market shows none of these characteristics.

Today's trading advice is quite simple: don’t chase the highs, don’t be driven by emotions, and focus on this range. The key is to watch whether the upper and lower boundaries are broken. When near the resistance level, defend mainly and occasionally try shorting; near the support level, consider small longs or just sit tight. When the direction becomes clear, follow accordingly. At this stage, speed is no longer an advantage; instead, those who can stick to discipline and have patience will win. Opportunities are abundant in the market; what’s truly scarce are those who can stay clear-headed amid the诱多诱空 (baiting longs and shorts).

BTC1,35%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

12 Likes

Reward
12
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

LayerZeroHero

· 8h ago

It has proven that this wave is indeed a shakeout, and the trading volume data does not support the logic of a one-sided breakout at all. Well said, I also reviewed that rapid surge in the early morning, which was purely a liquidity game during times of poor liquidity, a typical technical position adjustment. This is the analysis I want to hear—don't follow the crowd, stay disciplined, wait for clear signals before acting. Maintaining a clear mind amidst false signals of both bullish and bearish traps is indeed the most scarce. It's the same in the cross-chain ecosystem. Many projects' bridging mechanisms are vulnerable to attacks if not properly designed, requiring real-world data validation rather than just listening to promotional claims. Maintaining the right mindset is much more valuable than chasing quick profits. It makes me want to write a review article. The current market structure is characterized by a lack of sustained volume increase. Since the protocol architecture is not perfect and attack vectors are exposed, forcing the issue is not advisable. I'm also operating based on your logic, mainly focusing on range defense, waiting for effective breakthroughs of the upper and lower boundaries before following.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidationKing

· 8h ago

Another wave of leek harvest feast, the main force's tactics haven't changed at all That's right, this rally is just a false breakout, retail investors are still cheering Patience is really worth more than speed. I'm now waiting for the boundary to break I didn't chase the move during the early morning surge, felt the pattern was too old, and sure enough, it just moved sideways during the day Staying within a range of oscillation is the most comfortable, and there's less loss compared to chasing the rise This article is quite clear-minded, but most people can't understand it and still end up losing money

View OriginalReply0

MoonRocketTeam

· 8h ago

That wave in the early morning was the main force loading ammunition, retail investors just used as boosters, a typical shakeout rhythm. Wait, is this really a reversal signal? It looks more like a roller coaster, going up and then down. Range trading tests patience the most; few can stick to discipline, most are hijacked by dopamine. Consolidation during the day is just releasing pressure; don’t let emotions drive you, sitting tight is the hardest move. The main force relies on retail investors chasing highs and stopping losses to make a living, always the same routine. Stay near resistance levels for defense, consider entering near support levels—I've got this rhythm figured out. This market movement is just a reshuffling of chips, not a trend initiation; don’t expect to blast out of the stratosphere directly. The real opportunity lies in patiently waiting, not in chasing highs and selling lows.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketBard

· 8h ago

It's the main force's old trick again; retail investors are still chasing the rise, while they have already started unloading. That wave in the early morning was just bluffing; real trends are not that simple. Sitting and waiting for a clear direction is the way to go; don't let emotions hijack your positions.

View OriginalReply0

CryptoFortuneTeller

· 8h ago

Another round of shakeout, I knew it. That K-line at dawn can't scare me at all. This wave of the main force is a classic liquidity trap. Retail investors are still cheering, but the veterans have already sold out. Honestly, it's a bit tiring. Just move around within the sideways range; don't think about hitting it all at once. Patience is money.

View OriginalReply0