2026-01-14 13:21:01

#美国贸易赤字扩大 January 14 Evening Session Summary

Regarding Bitcoin, yesterday's daily chart showed a strong bullish candle breaking through the previous high, but encountered resistance above. Today, after a gap up, it consolidated sideways within a narrow range. The Bollinger Bands are not opening wide, the short-term moving averages have turned upward, the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are rising in sync, volume is increasing, the KDJ indicator is crossing upward and extending, and the VR remains balanced around 100.

The 4-hour chart more clearly shows the rhythm—after finding support at the bottom, multiple bullish candles pushed higher, successfully breaking above the upper band resistance, but then retraced with reduced volume to consolidate. At this point, the Bollinger Bands are expanding in a trumpet shape, the short-term moving averages stay upward, although the MACD indicator is rising, trading volume is beginning to shrink, the KDJ is facing resistance near 100 and turning downward, and the VR is easing around 350.

Overall, the nearly 4-day bottom validation is complete, and now a strong upward attack to break previous highs is underway. The technical outlook is clearly bullish, but resistance levels above must be closely watched—if key resistance cannot be effectively broken and stabilized, the sustainability of the rally is questionable. In that case, the market is likely to revert to a range-bound pattern. The immediate resistance to watch is the top of the pin bar, followed by the 98,500 level. If these two levels cannot hold, do not chase the rally. Support below is at 93,000; if broken, expect a move back to around 91,000 to find new support.

Ethereum is following Bitcoin’s rhythm, also showing a strong breakout above previous highs on the daily chart. The technical approach can be understood similarly to Bitcoin. In the short term, support is around 3,200; if a pullback holds this level, there is still a chance to attempt higher again. Conversely, if it breaks below, this big bullish candle could turn into a trap, and the market may revert to the previous range repeatedly. The immediate resistance is at the high of December 11. The overall direction remains unchanged for now, but if a key level is broken, further updates will be provided.

Current long position strategy:
$BTC Build positions in the 93,200-94,200 range, targeting 95,800-96,800
$ETH Build positions in the 3,210-3,250 range, targeting 3,330-3,370

BTC0,36%

ETH-1,65%

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SatoshiChallenger

· 13h ago

Is this the same old story? Just because all technical indicators are green, you think it's stable? Data shows that the last time such confident analysis was made, the price dropped over 40% in three months. The term "trap of诱多" (false breakout) is used so smoothly, it shows there's no real confidence either. Wait a minute, with declining trading volume, you still dare to call for a breakout? Isn't this a classic false breakout signal? Haven't the lessons from history been learned enough? The support at 93,000 broke, heading straight to 91,000. I bet five dollars that it will oscillate back and forth around this level for half a month.

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ForkItAll

· 13h ago

It's the same technical analysis routine again. Can really hold steady at 98500? It feels a bit shaky. When it breaks down, they say it's a false move; when it stabilizes, they say it will continue. This rhythm is indeed a bit hard to keep up with. If it breaks below 93000, it will head straight to 91000. Just hearing that is exciting. Let's wait and see. Is it real? The bottom was verified in just 4 days. With such speed, how confident must one be? Whether to buy or not depends on choosing between these two support levels. It feels like a gamble. The 3200 threshold is too critical. Breaking it or not feels like the dividing line between a false move and a new high. A large bullish candle can be deceptive. Having been burned a few times, I now get a bit nervous when I see this kind of pattern.

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MetaverseVagabond

· 14h ago

Breaking 93,000 means it's game over; we still need to see if 98,500 can hold steady to be meaningful. Breaking the level is just a trap to lure more buyers; this trick has been played too many times. This wave of BTC feels like a false alarm, just waiting to cut the leeks. It sounds reliable, but I still prefer to wait until a break occurs before making a move; I can't chase the rally. Is that 98,500 line really so critical? I always feel like it might be a fake-out. ETH is invincible in following the trend; when will it have its own ideas? Breaking 3,200 is truly dangerous; at that point, we'll need to find new support again. It feels like we're repeatedly testing the bottom, with significant pressure above. I'm still conservatively building long positions in this wave, afraid of a reverse cut again. Breaking previous highs but with shrinking volume, this signal is a bit ambiguous.

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NFTRegretful

· 14h ago

It's the same story again. Let's wait until the breakdown before making any judgments. If 98,500 can't hold, it's really over. I bet it will just oscillate. If 3,200 doesn't hold, we're going to see the same scenario again. I'm overwhelmed. Question mark. Will it break through this time or is it another trap to lure buyers in? It doesn't seem good if the trading volume continues to shrink. Don't be fooled into rushing in. I've been saying for a long time that chasing highs will get you killed. And there are still people rushing in?

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GateUser-75ee51e7

· 14h ago

If this 98500 level can't be broken, there's really no hope --- Another warning about trap rallies, is it just scare tactics or is there real risk? --- If support can't hold, then drop back to 91000, the decline is quite sharp --- BTC's recent upward push feels a bit weak, trading volume is shrinking --- ETH still has some momentum following the trend, technical analysis still looks good --- With so many key resistance levels, it won't count until it's actually broken --- Those chasing the high now need to be careful of trap rallies, it's not worth it --- Is the bottom confirmed in 4 days? That's a bit fast, isn't it? --- The 93000 level must be defended, otherwise it will be really troublesome --- Bollinger Bands are expanding in a trumpet shape, volatility is coming

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