2026-01-14 12:29:27

January 14 Crypto Circle Observation: Today, the global macro events are intensively bombarding the market. These cross-market heavyweight news will directly influence the crypto world through risk sentiment transmission. Let's analyze some key events—

First is the energy and policy front. The OPEC crude oil report and EIA energy outlook are about to be released, which will impact the overall commodity trends. Trump’s tariff rulings and related speeches are even more critical, as they directly determine the direction of global trade policies. If trade protectionism intensifies, risk aversion will rise, putting pressure on cryptocurrencies; conversely, if policies signal easing, risk appetite will rebound, giving risk assets like Bitcoin a chance to rally.

Next, look at the Federal Reserve. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Federal Reserve Board Member Michelle Bowman are scheduled to speak. The key is their stance on interest rate hikes or cuts. If hawkish tones dominate, the dollar is expected to strengthen, which puts pressure on cryptocurrencies; if dovish signals are released, it could trigger a rebound in crypto prices.

Finally, economic data. China’s full-year 2025 import and export figures reflect global trade activity. If the data exceeds expectations, it indicates solid demand in the real economy, which can indirectly boost market confidence in crypto assets.

BTC3,38%

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DeadTrades_Walking

· 8h ago

Trump is about to stir things up again. If these tariffs really come into effect, the crypto market will have to eat dirt. The Federal Reserve is about to talk tough again, and it feels like the hawks always come out on top... How likely is it that China's data will exceed expectations? Can it really boost the market? This intense bombardment is just trying to cause a collapse; the bears are sharpening their knives. The OPEC report is basically just for show; the key depends on the Fed's stance. Risk appetite is so fragile; it can change suddenly. I feel like even more negative news will come out if we wait a bit longer, so let's hold off and observe. When Paulson opens his mouth, I know trouble is coming—history is repeating itself.

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4am_degen

· 8h ago

It's Trump and the Federal Reserve again; today's market depends entirely on these big players' bluffs... BTC still depends on the Fed's stance; if dovish, it will soar immediately. Macroeconomic events are piling up... Are they trying to crash my coins? Once the tariff speech is out, risk aversion rises, and the crypto market has to cry, old routine. If China's import and export data surpass expectations, then our opportunity will come. Energy reports, the Federal Reserve, tariffs... People are overwhelmed; this is testing our hearts. Trump's words are even harder to predict than candlestick charts...

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GhostAddressHunter

· 8h ago

Trump opens his mouth and the coins start to tremble; I'm tired of this routine. If the monster dollar gets any stronger, I'll just lie flat. Can Chinese data give us some surprises? Please, I beg you. It's the same folks from Philadelphia speaking again—hawkish or dovish, it's just this issue. Looking forward to the energy report causing a wave, or else today will be another day of sideways hell.

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0xTherapist

· 8h ago

It's Trump again and the Federal Reserve again. Today’s macro data bombarded the market, and the crypto circle is about to ride a roller coaster. As soon as a dovish signal appears, there's a rebound; when hawkish, it crashes. Our current market trend purely depends on what the bigwigs at the Federal Reserve say. Tariff speeches are really crucial; one sentence can boost the coin price, which is outrageous. If China's import and export data surpass expectations, risk appetite can truly recover, but we have to wait for the data to speak. Whenever Trump opens his mouth, global risk assets all tremble, including Bitcoin. The Philadelphia Fed speech is back again; every time, it’s like a psychological massage for crypto investors. Energy reports, trade policies, Federal Reserve stance—these three elements come out together, making this feel like a casino-level stimulus. The prerequisite for a rebound is that policies don’t turn hawkish again; otherwise, with the dollar so strong, how can the coin prices rise?

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ForkItAllDay

· 8h ago

Trump's mouth is about to cause trouble again; every time he speaks, the coins tremble... --- The Federal Reserve is about to make a statement. Is it hawkish or dovish? That's the real key. --- Oil reports, trade data... Today is a macro bombshell day. Small investors are about to get cut again. --- Speaking of China's import and export data, if it looks good, will it trigger a risk appetite rally? --- Every time they talk about risk sentiment transmission, but in the end, it still follows the dollar index. So tiring. --- Paulson is about to speak? I'm already ready to cut losses... --- Energy policy → commodities → coin prices. There are too many links in this chain. Ultimately, it's a bet on the dollar. --- Bitcoin dances along with macro data. Truly amazing. --- A major event every month. How can retail investors' mentality not collapse? --- When hawks come, they just dump the market. Old routine.

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BlockchainDecoder

· 8h ago

Research shows that the complexity of this type of macro transmission mechanism is often underestimated by market participants. Notably, the spillover effect of risk sentiment is not a linear relationship, especially during periods of repeated policy expectations. It is recommended to focus on the real-time changes in dollar liquidity within the Fed model framework, rather than simply tracking the surface attitude of Federal Reserve speeches.

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AlwaysMissingTops