预测市场长期看好但短期仍存变数，平台流动性集中度成隐患

2026-01-14 12:20:11

【币界】预测市场这条赛道长期来看确实是个大机会，但现阶段还真说不准谁能笑到最后。从Polymarket这个头部平台的现状看，问题挺明显的——整个生态里真正有实力的做市商才一两个，流动性高度集中在体育赛事这块。说白了，赛道还处于很早期的探索阶段。往后看，摆在面前的挑战不少：各国政府的监管态度目前还是个问号，同时新玩家不断涌入，竞争会越来越激烈。这些不确定性到底怎么演，还得观察。

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NFTArchaeologist

· 8h ago

Liquidity concentration is really the Achilles' heel of prediction markets.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 8h ago

With liquidity so concentrated, it feels like Poly is just a paper tiger now.

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tokenomics_truther

· 9h ago

With liquidity so concentrated, do you really dare to step in? It feels like entering now is just helping early players boost their positions.

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BlockchainGriller

· 9h ago

Liquidity concentration has long been a hidden risk. Polymarket looks popular, but it's really just a few big players involved. Can retail investors really get in?

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RektRecovery