Prediction markets have experienced explosive growth over the past six months. The weekly trading volume skyrocketed from roughly $560 million to $5.23 billion—a clean 10x expansion that didn't emerge from a single spike.
What's particularly striking is the pattern. From August through January, there's been a steady ramp upward without any full retracement after each peak. Each leg higher holds firm. This isn't the typical boom-and-bust cycle you'd expect; instead, it shows genuine, sustained momentum building in the sector. The market structure suggests accumulation and institutional confidence rather than speculation-driven volatility. That kind of consistency—where pullbacks remain shallow and support levels hold—typically signals healthy, organic growth with real adoption underneath.
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Prediction markets have experienced explosive growth over the past six months. The weekly trading volume skyrocketed from roughly $560 million to $5.23 billion—a clean 10x expansion that didn't emerge from a single spike.
What's particularly striking is the pattern. From August through January, there's been a steady ramp upward without any full retracement after each peak. Each leg higher holds firm. This isn't the typical boom-and-bust cycle you'd expect; instead, it shows genuine, sustained momentum building in the sector. The market structure suggests accumulation and institutional confidence rather than speculation-driven volatility. That kind of consistency—where pullbacks remain shallow and support levels hold—typically signals healthy, organic growth with real adoption underneath.