2026-01-14 11:27:17

Tonight, the US retail sales data will be released, and this round of data will have a significant impact on the crypto market. If the data greatly exceeds expectations, risk assets are likely to suffer, with a clear bearish signal; conversely, if it falls below expectations, it may trigger a rebound in risk appetite, benefiting digital asset recovery.

At the same time, don't forget another variable—the Trump tariff ruling. If the tariff plan is vetoed, it will temporarily increase market risk sentiment and continue to be bearish; but if the ruling is delayed or adjusted, it could give the bulls a breathing space, leaning towards bullishness. The overlap of these two major events may lead to short-term volatility.

Currently, BTC, ETH, and gold are all worth paying attention to. Especially before macro data is released, caution is advised in positions, and observing the reactions to these two events before making decisions is a more prudent approach.

BTC1,07%

ETH-0,83%

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SybilAttackVictim

· 14h ago

Retail data and tariffs hitting simultaneously—truly incredible... It's hard for even the bulls to rally.

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MetaMasked

· 17h ago

Retail data exceeding expectations is basically a bloodbath. Don't ask me how I know... But if Trump’s side delays the verdict, we might still have a chance to catch our breath. That's the gamble.

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ProofOfNothing

· 17h ago

Retail data is really a headache, but to be honest, Trump's tariff decision is the real black swan. Wait, if these two events hit at the same time, no matter how you choose, BTC will be wrong, right? Better to reduce positions first, wait until you see the clear picture before jumping in. The key is to watch the market reaction at the moment the data is released; otherwise, all guesses are just false plays. Gold, on the other hand, is more stable, at least it won't be messed up by policies.

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Ser_This_Is_A_Casino

· 17h ago

Retail data exceeding expectations gets you beaten; only when it falls short can you breathe a sigh of relief... This logic is truly brilliant. When macroeconomics is a mess, who dares to hold a heavy position? Once the tariff ruling is out, the bulls and bears will directly reverse, just waiting to watch the show.

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TokenVelocityTrauma

· 17h ago

Retail data is about to stir things up again, and this time it's probably the shorts' trap... If Trump really cuts tariffs, we need to be prepared for a sharp drop. Holding BTC right now feels a bit uncomfortable; it seems better to wait and see what happens. If the tariffs are delayed, there might be a rebound opportunity, right? Or maybe it's safer to cut positions first.

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GateUser-3824aa38

· 17h ago

Retail data really is a variable; it can cause a sharp drop if it exceeds expectations, or rally if it doesn't... This round of market movement depends on how Trump handles things.

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MoonWaterDroplets

· 17h ago

How will the retail data turn out? Anyway, I'll reduce my position first. There are too many black swan events this time. Wait, if the tariffs are really rejected... then just go all in. Better to wait and see than to guess. BTC should still be held. In the short term, it's all about volatility.

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