The US December CPI was seemingly calm after its release (year-over-year 2.7%, fully in line with expectations), but the voices of economists are quite different. Many analysts believe that the seemingly impressive numbers are due to the fading of statistical distortions caused by the government shutdown in November. In other words, the inflation data has undergone a "visual correction."



What’s more concerning is that the real inflation situation may not be as optimistic as it appears. It has quietly entered the most stubborn state—slow but persistent, stuck in a mild range, unable to fall below the official target of 2%.

Looking at the market’s actual reaction makes this clear. Gold initially came under pressure due to the missed rate cut expectations, but then reconsidered—if the data has been artificially adjusted, the value of hard currency becomes even more prominent. It then turned upward, firmly holding the historic high of $4600. Continuous central bank purchases and policy hedging demand have provided the strongest support for gold.

The performance of US stocks appears more flexible. After a brief panic, investors quickly shifted their focus to earnings season. The story of tech stocks backed by the AI industry chain remains popular, and the expectation of "mild inflation" has instead opened up new narrative space for cyclical sectors.

The US dollar experienced a slight rebound, mainly supported by interest rate differentials. But don’t forget, the risk of intervention by the Trump administration in Federal Reserve policies is like a landmine buried underground, posing a hidden threat to the dollar’s long-term credibility.

This "data fog" reveals two harsh realities: first, US inflation is more sticky than expected; second, the market is beginning to doubt the credibility of official data. How much economic truth has been hidden by the adjustments after the government shutdown?

In this period where traditional rules are challenged and data reliability is questioned, many funds are starting to seek new narratives and unconventional assets. Besides the much-watched gold, some attention has also turned to the crypto market. Assets like 1000SATS, ORDI, and related tokens have once again become focal points for capital exploration, although volatility remains their eternal label.

So the question boils down to this: do you continue to rely on potentially "modified" data to play the traditional market game? Or do you prepare early for the risks of "data distortion" and "system cracks," and position yourself in some unconventional options?

(The market moves forward amid doubt. This article is for informational analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.)
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RadioShackKnightvip
· 14h ago
Data, when it looks good, is actually the most dangerous. --- Inflation stubbornly sticking around—that's the real problem. --- I'm relieved if gold can hold at 4600; at least there's something real. --- Starting to shift the blame to government shutdown again; anyway, how you interpret the data doesn't matter. --- The Fed being manipulated is something to watch; the credibility of the dollar is really being eroded. --- Instead of guessing whether official data is doctored or not, it's better to move directly into non-traditional assets. --- How long can the AI story be hyped? Can moderate inflation sustain tech stocks? --- The cracks in the system are becoming more obvious; everyone is secretly looking for an exit. --- I really can't believe the statement that 2.7% is in line with expectations. --- Trump interfering with the Federal Reserve—this landmine is buried pretty deep.
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StealthDeployervip
· 14h ago
The data is so obviously manipulated, and people still believe the official figures?
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GasFeeCryBabyvip
· 14h ago
Data is all lies. Now is the time to buy gold and BTC for real.
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FunGibleTomvip
· 14h ago
Data is all just an illusion.
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SandwichTradervip
· 14h ago
Data sets after data sets, the truth relies on guessing. I'm tired of playing this game.
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SatoshiSherpavip
· 14h ago
Data is becoming more and more like magic, hard to tell real from fake --- The fact that gold stays above 4600 indicates what... People still trust hard assets --- With inflation so sticky, CPI numbers have long been insufficient --- Another government shutdown and AI stories, this market narrative is really impressive --- Instead of pondering those "modified" data, it's better to get into safe-haven assets early --- The recent surge in ORDI and SATS feels like a vote of confidence from the funds --- Trump's intervention in the Federal Reserve was truly a landmine --- Why does it always seem that the more beautiful the official numbers, the more hidden behind them --- Mild inflation is stuck here and can't be lowered at all, that's the most heartbreaking part --- Instead of trusting CPI, it's better to watch the real actions of the central bank --- The logic of gold is so simple: the more suspicious the data, the more attractive hard currency becomes
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