#数字资产市场动态 Will the Federal Reserve really hold steady until the end of the year? The Chief Economist of ANZ Bank recently poured cold water on that idea. He said the Fed might keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged in January, but the notion that this rate hike cycle will be paused for a long time doesn't hold water. So what is the reality? A 25 basis point cut in March and June, bringing the target rate down to 3.00%-3.25% by mid-year—this is the most likely scenario. The logic behind this is quite clear: the inflation spike caused by previous tariff speculation will dissipate, wage growth will start to cool, and housing inflation is also retreating. Once these factors all take effect, US inflation will gradually enter a downward trend by 2026. In other words, now is definitely not the time to stubbornly hold onto interest rates.