Prediction Market Volume Hits Record $702M Despite Recent Regulatory Scrutiny

2026-01-14 06:28:36

Source: CryptoNewsNet Original Title: Prediction market volume hits record $702M despite recent scrutiny Original Link: Recent US regulatory action seeking to restrict prediction markets hasn’t slowed activity in the first weeks of 2026, with trading volumes hitting a record $701.7 million on Monday.

Prediction market Kalshi accounted for two-thirds of total trading volume at $465.9 million, while competitors and other platforms tallied $100 million worth of trades, Dune Analytics data from Gate Research shows.

The $701.7 million tally beat the previous record of $666.6 million set the day before, with Kalshi leading trading volumes by a similar margin.

Daily trading volume on prediction markets since September 2024. Source: Dune Analytics

Market Expansion and Institutional Interest

Prediction markets have become one of crypto’s hottest use cases, with adoption accelerating exponentially since August.

Several crypto exchanges and self-custody wallet platforms have, or are planning to, integrate prediction markets into their ecosystems. The integrations and rising trading volumes have attracted interest from Wall Street, with market leaders now boasting multibillion-dollar valuations.

Regulatory Pressure Intensifies

Prediction markets went back under regulatory spotlight earlier this month when an anonymous user bet roughly $30,000 on a major political outcome just hours before a significant event, a bet that paid them out more than $400,000 and sparked concerns about insider knowledge.

New York lawmakers are set to review legislation seeking to ban certain markets tied to politics, sports, the stock market, and others. Connecticut, New York, Nevada, and New Jersey are among the US states that have attempted to place restrictions on prediction market operators—prompting retaliatory legal action.

A Tennessee federal judge temporarily stopped state regulators from taking action against Kalshi on Monday, which had sued the state after being ordered to cease offering sports event contracts.

International regulators have also taken action, with reports indicating that certain countries blocked access to major prediction market platforms in recent months, classifying them as gambling.

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