#策略性加码BTC January 14 Midday Market Overview

**$BTC Market Trend Observation**

Bitcoin has finally broken through the annoying range of 94,774-90,325 and hit a new high. Honestly, as long as Bitcoin has the desire to move upward, any resistance in front of it is just paper. Resistance is meant to be broken.

The key now is whether Bitcoin can hold above 94,774, which would be a true reversal signal. Don’t view it as a normal rebound anymore. Once the market trend is set, it’s hard to reverse. Remember that.

Currently, Bitcoin is a bit stuck before the 96,706 level — it attempted to test upward once, but the closing price didn’t stay above 96,706, instead it retraced to 95,020 to confirm support. The good news is that this support is effective, and it’s now in a consolidation phase.

On the hourly chart, the rounded bottom has basically completed, clearly showing a buildup phase. Moving forward, Bitcoin has only two paths:

**First**: Repeatedly oscillate around the 96,777-95,020 range to accumulate energy, then surge higher. I favor this path.

**Second**: Retrace to 93,740 to confirm support again, then continue the rally. But there’s a strict rule — it must not fall below 93,740. If it does, Bitcoin will be pushed back into the big range and resume a downtrend.

Key position reminder: As long as Bitcoin doesn’t fall below the bullish candle that pierced through 96,777, oscillating near this candle is fine. If it breaks above 96,777, then 98,755 is the next target, and holding above 98,755 could see Bitcoin reaching 100,000.

**Trading Suggestions**:
- Aggressively go long on a volume breakout above 95,792, or buy on a light retracement near 94,000, with a stop loss below 92,617.
- On the hourly chart, hold above 95,792 to target 96,777 → 98,755.
- Break above 96,777 for further bullishness.
- If it falls below 95,120 on the 4-hour chart, look down to 94,013-93,034.

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**$ETH Market Outlook**

Ethereum has been quite aggressive lately. Volume breakout above 3,351 can be chased for longs, with tight stop losses.

If the 3,325 level is broken, set a stop loss and go short. After a retracement to 3,267 to confirm support, add a long position, but if it falls below 3,224, exit with a stop loss.

On the hourly chart, if it stabilizes above 3,372, look toward 3,416-3,486. A moderate short can be taken at 3,416, with a stop loss above 3,456.

There’s also a pending buy order at 3,220; if it falls below 3,175, stop out.

**Resistance levels**: 3,372-3,416-3,486
**Support levels**: 3,313-3,263-3,223

If the 4-hour chart falls below 3,303, look down to the 3,269→3,220 zone.

Special reminder: Ethereum’s 4-hour range has been broken. As long as it doesn’t retrace back into the range, expect it to continue upward toward 3,447. Maintain a cautious yet optimistic attitude overall.