Ethereum recently broke out with increased volume to the 3383 level, which coincides exactly with the top resistance of the box analyzed last week. When placing a short position at this level, consider setting a stop-loss to protect profits.
From an operational perspective, shorting on the left side is indeed challenging. Entering a short at around 3330 carries the risk of a slight loss. If you place a short order at 3360, some traders' average entry price is around 3345, so the stop-loss can be set at 3384. Without a stop-loss, be prepared psychologically to hold the position.
The reduction of positions can be approached in two steps—gradually reducing from the 3120 to 3080 range, with the ultimate target at 2480, which is a theoretical calculation based on the two downward box levels. If the position is heavy, arbitrage hedging can be done back and forth. Once the price breaks through 3384, this structure needs to be reassessed. The next shorting opportunity is expected around 3570, waiting for a pullback.
Thinking in reverse, from 2480, go long and track the weekly rebound to around 3850, then consider deploying long-term short positions. If the rebound directly surges to 3870, initiating a long-term short strategy from this high point is also feasible.
In the short term, avoid shorting Bitcoin. If you must operate a short, consider placing long-term shorts at levels like 98200 or 99500. Interestingly, the structural movements of Bitcoin and Ethereum are not synchronized—Ethereum peaked on August 24 last year, while Bitcoin only peaked on October 6. The market is full of uncertainties; no one can guarantee perfect accuracy forever. The key is to always set a stop-loss to ensure stable profits.
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ser_we_are_early
· 4h ago
Setting stop-loss is easy to talk about, but once you're in, you realize how difficult it really is.
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defi_detective
· 6h ago
Stop-loss is really a common topic, but unfortunately most people just can't do it, no wonder the market is so competitive.
Once again, it's the 3384 hurdle. It feels like this wave will either break through directly or reverse, and the in-between state is really the most uncomfortable.
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TokenVelocityTrauma
· 01-14 04:58
Talking about stop-loss is easy, but actually doing it is really hard... Every time I want to buy the dip, I end up getting hammered instead.
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BrokenRugs
· 01-14 04:58
Stop-loss is easy to talk about but hard to do. I always want to take a gamble, but do I have the right to speak when I get liquidated?
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SerumSquirrel
· 01-14 04:57
Stop-loss is easy to talk about but hard to implement. Watching the losses just makes it hard to press the button.
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SatoshiHeir
· 01-14 04:53
It should be pointed out that this set of box argumentation framework itself has logical flaws. After breaking through 3383, you wait until 3570 to short? Obviously, such lagging operations have long been overturned by on-chain data.
Everyone listen to me—setting stop-loss at 3384 is simply self-hypnosis in the swamp of gambler psychology. I have verified all major rebound structures since 2017, and this kind of close stop-loss method has been discussed countless times by the community. I suggest you review the lessons.
Undoubtedly, the ultimate target of 2480 sounds very artistic, but based on on-chain data and historical backtesting, such precise predictions are precisely the easiest to be slapped in the face by the market. The essence of technology has never believed in superstition, only in probability.
Ethereum recently broke out with increased volume to the 3383 level, which coincides exactly with the top resistance of the box analyzed last week. When placing a short position at this level, consider setting a stop-loss to protect profits.
From an operational perspective, shorting on the left side is indeed challenging. Entering a short at around 3330 carries the risk of a slight loss. If you place a short order at 3360, some traders' average entry price is around 3345, so the stop-loss can be set at 3384. Without a stop-loss, be prepared psychologically to hold the position.
The reduction of positions can be approached in two steps—gradually reducing from the 3120 to 3080 range, with the ultimate target at 2480, which is a theoretical calculation based on the two downward box levels. If the position is heavy, arbitrage hedging can be done back and forth. Once the price breaks through 3384, this structure needs to be reassessed. The next shorting opportunity is expected around 3570, waiting for a pullback.
Thinking in reverse, from 2480, go long and track the weekly rebound to around 3850, then consider deploying long-term short positions. If the rebound directly surges to 3870, initiating a long-term short strategy from this high point is also feasible.
In the short term, avoid shorting Bitcoin. If you must operate a short, consider placing long-term shorts at levels like 98200 or 99500. Interestingly, the structural movements of Bitcoin and Ethereum are not synchronized—Ethereum peaked on August 24 last year, while Bitcoin only peaked on October 6. The market is full of uncertainties; no one can guarantee perfect accuracy forever. The key is to always set a stop-loss to ensure stable profits.