I've been navigating this market for nearly eight years. To be honest, the first two years almost saw me eliminated by the market itself.



I still remember when my account balance dropped from a high point to half. Those days were truly tough. I suffered from insomnia, waking up at three or four in the middle of the night to check the charts, afraid of missing anything. My mindset was on the verge of collapse, filled with resentment towards the market.

It wasn't until later that I realized the root cause of losses wasn't a lack of effort, but that the very approach to trading violated human nature. Most retail traders fall into two vicious cycles: one, holding on stubbornly during a dip, hoping for a redemption when the market recovers; two, rushing to sell at the slightest gain, fearing profits will slip away. Sounds familiar, right?

But the market is never sentimental. The first lesson it taught me is—do the opposite. Be willing to hold when the trend is smooth, and be ready to admit defeat when breaking support. The key is to extend the profit cycle and shorten the loss period—that's how you truly survive.

Regarding volume, this reflects the market's breathing. Coins with decreasing volume and slow upward movement often have potential later on; especially if they break key support and then consolidate with low volume, that’s often a good second entry point. Conversely, a warning sign is when volume surges but the price doesn’t move; that’s when you need to be alert. After a volume explosion and sharp rise, it’s very likely to follow with sideways movement or a direct decline.

About position size, I used to make the mistake of thinking that holding more targets was safer. But the more targets I held, the more chaotic my mindset became, and the easier it was to make reckless moves. Later, I realized that two or three targets are enough. If you can’t even control this, then the problem isn’t the market, but yourself.

Short-term trading isn’t about reckless guesses. Often, after a sharp decline, a rebound is predictable; also, a sudden surge near the close often leads to a drop the next day.

And the most important point—after making big profits, always close your position and take a break. The market’s harshest lesson is not when you’re losing money, but when you become overconfident and inflated after gains. That confidence can be more deadly than any negative news.

Don’t fight the market when you’re losing. Wait until your emotions and rhythm align before acting. The trend never ends, opportunities will always come. The hardest part is controlling that hand that always wants to place random trades.
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TokenAlchemistvip
· 14h ago
nah the volume dynamics here are textbook inefficiency vectors waiting to get arb'd... most retail just can't read the liquidation cascades
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fomo_fightervip
· 14h ago
That's so true. Those two years, I was the one waking up in the middle of the night to check the markets... Now I finally understand that those who can truly survive are not the smart ones, but the ones who know when to admit defeat.
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SignatureDeniedvip
· 14h ago
The blood and tears of an eight-year veteran investor, so true. Especially that line "Confidence is more deadly than bad news," which hits my sore spot directly.
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RumbleValidatorvip
· 14h ago
This theory sounds good, but is a shrinking volume sideways movement really a signal for a second entry? I think it's more important to look at the stability of the nodes to judge the subsequent trend; relying solely on volume can easily be deceived by manipulative traders.
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SolidityJestervip
· 14h ago
Hey, you're absolutely right. Inflation is really more dangerous than losses.
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