In the past two days, there has been significant activity within the Federal Reserve, with several key officials speaking out intensively, releasing a large amount of information.



First, Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is indeed still at a relatively high level, but there are no signs of it spiraling out of control for now. Following that, Atlanta Fed President Bostic directly put forward a major viewpoint: inflation risks are gradually cooling down, and it is expected to return to the 2% target by the second half of this year.

Bostic also emphasized a critical detail—the interest rate is now close to the so-called "neutral level," and there is basically no need to cut rates further. The current policy is actually at a delicate balance point, neither overly accommodative nor overly tight. Interestingly, he gave an "encouraging" assessment of the latest inflation data, implying that the probability of the economy achieving a soft landing is increasing.

Everything initially seemed to be heading in a positive direction, but then the plot suddenly took a turn.

House Speaker Johnson suddenly spoke out, publicly calling for the Department of Justice to continue investigating Federal Reserve Chair Powell. His wording was quite interesting—"If innocent, it will be proven innocent." This political maneuver immediately injected an element of uncertainty into the market. There still seem to be some undercurrents between Washington and the Fed that have not surfaced.

Now, the situation is gradually becoming clearer:

✅ The overall trend of slowing inflation indeed appears to be stabilizing
✅ The Fed’s stance is to maintain the status quo and not act rashly for now
❓ But political games in Washington could disrupt at any time

The key issues to watch next are: Can Powell’s investigation be smoothly navigated? Can inflation truly stabilize at the 2% target this year? Also, will political factors affect the Fed’s decision-making independence?

All of these will directly impact the USD’s movement, the performance of mainstream cryptocurrencies, and the overall market sentiment. What do you think about how this drama will unfold next?
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SybilSlayervip
· 01-14 04:53
Political interference at the Federal Reserve—this trick has been seen too many times. It's a miracle if Powell can navigate it smoothly. Hard landing or soft landing are all just clouds; the key is when Washington's folks will finally settle down. Inflation at 2%? I’d be surprised. Just wait and see your holdings shrink further, everyone. The market fears uncertainty. Once this survey comes out, the crypto space will likely be washed again. It feels like the Federal Reserve has long been politically sidelined. They really dare to boast about independence.
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Gm_Gn_Merchantvip
· 01-14 04:52
This political move is really brilliant. The inflation data was actually decent, but they directly pulled out Powell for investigation. Honestly, I can't stand it when they resort to reckless punches to kill the seasoned expert.
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TokenStormvip
· 01-14 04:48
On-chain data shows that interest rates are already stuck in the neutral zone. This position is most prone to reversal. I'm tired of hearing the term soft landing. Once political investigations are announced, the market risk factor doubles immediately. I bet Powell can hold on, but the probability is only fifty-fifty. Meanwhile, I’ve moved some stablecoins to wait and see.
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ContractTestervip
· 01-14 04:46
Powell is being targeted now; political struggles always manage to jump out and cause trouble at critical moments.
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