Last night, after the CPI was announced, Bitcoin's market immediately became active. The inflation data was not as hot as expected, and the market began to heavily bet that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in April. The US dollar weakened accordingly, and a lot of funds flowed into risk assets.



On the Bitcoin side, after breaking through 93,000, there were no signs of a pullback, and it continued to surge upward. During the US trading session, the bulls were fully activated, and the overnight rally directly pierced 96,000. But the good times didn't last long; selling pressure at high levels suddenly came down, and the price quickly dropped from the top. It is now hovering around 95,300, entering a phase of high-level digestion. In the short term, it remains in a strong pattern, just needing time to consolidate.

From a macro perspective, the core of this rebound is actually the improvement in liquidity expectations. Once the expectation of rate cuts forms, funds will rush in. But don’t forget, Trump is still putting pressure on the Federal Reserve, so the independence of monetary policy remains uncertain. Therefore, the market shows a characteristic—rapid rise followed by quick shakeout, with a particularly fast rhythm.

Technically, the Bollinger upper band on the Bitcoin daily chart has been effectively broken, breaking the previous consolidation range. The short-term moving averages are showing a bullish divergence, with an obvious trend shift to strength. The four-hour chart also shows a bullish arrangement, with increasing momentum bars and the bulls taking the initiative. However, on the hourly chart, various indicators are already in overbought territory, indicating a need for a correction or consolidation to digest profits. Today, we may see some pullbacks from high levels or sideways consolidation. The key support zones below are around 94,000–93,000.
BTC3,57%
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SchroedingerGasvip
· 4h ago
If 96,000 breaks, you want to run? That's funny. This wave of shakeout is just clearing out retail investors. With expectations of rate cuts and pressure from Trump, basically it's policy uncertainty betting. The selling pressure at high levels is so strong, it feels like we need to dump another wave to feel comfortable. If 94,000 can't hold, we have to admit defeat. Don't fight it hard.
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WalletDivorcervip
· 4h ago
It's another expectation of rate cuts driving the rally, same old trick every time. 96,000 seconds to drop back to 95,300, those trying to buy the dip will be trapped again, right?
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MissingSatsvip
· 5h ago
96,000 was smashed down, this pace is really a bit rapid. It seems that Trump's pressure is indeed messing up the Federal Reserve's rhythm. It's that same pattern of quick rise and quick shakeout, how many retail investors have been cut? Once the expectation of interest rate cuts forms, funds rush in, but what happens when it actually materializes? Still need to be cautious about the 94,000 level. This rebound feels like a liquidity game; don't be blinded by the rise. The overbought signals are so obvious that today might see some consolidation and volatility. The most vulnerable stage for getting trapped is during high-level digestion; better wait for a confirmed break. Bollinger Band breakout is a positive sign, but with such strong selling pressure, there's nothing to do but wait and see what the Federal Reserve says in the end.
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MoonMathMagicvip
· 5h ago
96,000 responds instantly again, the old trick again, always fooling me into chasing the high every time
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