2026-01-13 20:36:48

Here's the paradox with quality crypto projects—they can look completely dormant on the surface until something clicks and suddenly everything shifts. You witness a 50-100% pump over a couple weeks, then it keeps running. Before you realize what's happening, you've already missed the move that could've changed your portfolio entirely.

This is why bottom-fishing in crypto requires a different mentality than most investors possess. You're essentially trading a moderate drawdown—call it a 30% pullback—against the possibility of life-altering returns. That's not just a gamble; that's understanding asymmetric risk. The downside is contained and calculable. The upside? It can be absolutely extraordinary for the right position at the right time.

The key is patience and positioning. Projects worth holding rarely announce their breakout moments in advance.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-14 12:57

This is the nature of gambling; after losing a few times, you understand. --- Basically, those who buy the bottom will always live longer than those who chase the high. --- Wait a minute... what he calls asymmetric risk is actually just a different name for gambler psychology. --- I just want to know how to judge that "right time"... everyone thinks they are at the bottom. --- What true wisdom is about is when to hold and when to run; this part of the article isn't explained clearly. --- Bottom catching is an absolute skill, but the prerequisite is that you survive until you see that 50x day. --- Get sober; 99% of people are just fooling themselves into saying they are bottom fishing. --- The difficulty lies in distinguishing whether it's a false breakout before a crash or a real starting point. --- Projects with long silence periods can sometimes explode, but they might also just die... just stubbornness and luck. --- So the key still comes down to position management; it's easy to say but hard to do.

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GasFeeCrier

· 01-13 21:06

Really, the incubation period is the hardest to endure... often missing that moment can mean several times the difference

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GasFeeVictim

· 01-13 21:02

Damn, really. The incubation period only hits me when the outbreak occurs, and by then, blood has already been spilled on the spot.

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CryptoCross-TalkClub

· 01-13 20:54

Laughing to death, this is why I always watch the market daily but always miss the boat, truly incredible. Once a person starts talking about "asymmetric risk," they're not far from the secret to harvesting the leek. Bottom picking? I'm just here to fill the bottom, everyone. Wait, he said "the project won't announce takeoff in advance," so what does it mean that the KOL I follow is shouting that good news is coming every day? 30% decline vs. unlimited gains, I can't solve this multiple-choice question, my brain isn't enough.

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GasGasGasBro

· 01-13 20:48

ngl that's why I always buy the dip and get trapped... Wait, by the time I react, it's already skyrocketed.

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MEVHunter

· 01-13 20:47

Bottom fishing basically means betting on that moment in the mempool... The on-chain data during the quiet period is actually telling a story, but retail investors just can't understand it.

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0xSunnyDay

· 01-13 20:44

That's why I've been anxious about bottom-fishing... Just wait and wait, and suddenly it takes off.

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