2026-01-13 14:40:18

#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 The recently released December US CPI data was unexpected—year-over-year growth slowed to 2.7%, and core CPI even dropped to 2.6%, both indicators below expectations. The result? Precious metals immediately surged, the dollar appeared somewhat weak, and traders sensed the possibility of rate cuts. $BTC $ZEN These cryptocurrencies also started to stir.

What is the market betting on now? The probability of the Federal Reserve starting rate cuts in April has soared to 42%. Although most still believe June is the key point, the heat of rate cut expectations has clearly increased.🔥

But here’s the problem—this final stretch of inflation is still quite rugged. The Federal Reserve is not entirely at ease and repeatedly emphasizes the need for more data to confirm the trend. Will tax cuts boost prices? Will investments driven by the AI boom push costs higher again? These variables are still in play.

So, this CPI data is just a window opening; the true direction still needs time to be confirmed. What do you think about the subsequent trend? $U

BTC4,96%

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SigmaBrain

· 13h ago

A 42% probability sounds pretty intimidating, but I still think the Federal Reserve just loves to keep us guessing. Their words are so precise that even with good data, we need to observe for a few more months. This wave of BTC rebound is purely following the trend. The real test will be when the tax cut policy is implemented. What if inflation comes back then? The dream of interest rate cuts is better not to be too early. The AI cost aspect is completely unpredictable. Just waiting and seeing, anyway I can't rush it. Weak dollar? That's a bit funny. We're just getting started, still a long way to go.

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DecentralizedElder

· 01-13 15:08

Wait, 2.7% is considered surprising? I feel like the market keeps getting hit repeatedly with "surprises" every time...

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SoliditySlayer

· 01-13 15:08

The expectation of interest rate cuts has indeed given BTC a bit of a boost, but this 42% probability sounds a bit unrealistic... there's still a long way to go before it materializes.

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PumpAnalyst

· 01-13 15:07

Cautiously bearish, but this rebound does have some substance. A 42% probability basically means the big players are pushing the market, don’t get caught off guard. --- Attention all retail investors, although CPI looks good, don’t rush to buy in. The Federal Reserve’s comment "more data needed" is a hint that there are still uncertainties. --- The technicals have already broken through the support level, but since the variables of tax cuts and AI haven't been eliminated, I still prefer to stay on the sidelines. Risk management first. --- Not to discourage everyone, but the heated expectations of interest rate cuts only mean retail investors have all jumped in. The biggest smile on the big players’ faces is usually when they’re squeezing retail investors. --- Honestly, the movements in precious metals and BTC look exciting, but I care more about what the Fed folks are really thinking. Whether it’s April or June will determine the subsequent swing trend. --- Brothers, this is where the big players are lying in wait. Just rushing in? No, I want to look at the 1-hour K-line structure on the technicals again, so you don’t get caught in a trap.

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GateUser-9ad11037

· 01-13 15:01

The expectation of interest rate cuts is rising, but there are also many uncertainties. This CPI data feels more like a "wolf coming" signal; it's still early for it to materialize.

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