The new U.S. administration is expected to announce the Federal Reserve Chair candidate between January 19-23. According to predictive market data, Candidate A has a support rate of 41%, while Candidate B is at 35%. Market reactions vary significantly under the two scenarios: if Candidate A is nominated, the market may experience a jump followed by a decline; conversely, a nomination of Candidate B suggests a more optimistic market sentiment. This critical time window warrants close attention. Once officially announced, traders need to quickly adjust their strategies based on market reactions. Importantly, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January is only 5%, indicating limited policy support and the potential for increased market volatility due to expectation gaps. Prepare contingency plans in advance to respond to possible sharp fluctuations.
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MintMaster
· 01-16 12:37
It's the same story with the Fed Chair again, always a pattern of rising first and then falling, really annoying.
Now let's see if Brother B can step up, with the gap of 41% versus 35%... let's wait and see if it gets reversed.
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MetaverseHomeless
· 01-15 06:00
Another prediction about cutting leeks again, I just want to know about candidate C?
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CryptoPunster
· 01-15 03:18
Laughing and going all-in on this one, waiting for the death notice
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rekt_but_resilient
· 01-14 07:02
Here we go again? Whether A or B comes up, it's just consolidation anyway. We retail investors are destined to get harvested no matter what.
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Hash_Bandit
· 01-13 14:57
fed chair picks hitting different depending on who gets it... candidate A's looking like volatility incoming, the kind where you'd want your portfolio locked and loaded for the dump. ngl the 5% rate cut odds are basically telling us we're running on fumes this january lmao
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tx_pending_forever
· 01-13 14:57
It's that kind of "critical time window" again, always talking as if it's real, 41% vs 35%, close enough, it's all gambling anyway.
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BuyTheTop
· 01-13 14:42
Here we go again, A vs B, just like guessing a coin flip, 41% vs 35%—not much difference.
First up, rise then fall? We all know how this game is played; the big players love this trick.
Wait, only a 5% chance of interest rate cuts? Then this move is definitely a market dump.
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MergeConflict
· 01-13 14:40
Hmm... the probability of candidate A diving is so high? It feels like another scheme to harvest the little guys.
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SybilAttackVictim
· 01-13 14:37
Oh no, A has a higher probability but I still have to wait on the sidelines
You're saying the probability of interest rate cuts is only 5%? Then what are we even hoping for?
Let's see if B can come in and save the market first
Waiting to be cut like a leek
This time, only if it truly reverses as expected can we survive
The new U.S. administration is expected to announce the Federal Reserve Chair candidate between January 19-23. According to predictive market data, Candidate A has a support rate of 41%, while Candidate B is at 35%. Market reactions vary significantly under the two scenarios: if Candidate A is nominated, the market may experience a jump followed by a decline; conversely, a nomination of Candidate B suggests a more optimistic market sentiment. This critical time window warrants close attention. Once officially announced, traders need to quickly adjust their strategies based on market reactions. Importantly, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January is only 5%, indicating limited policy support and the potential for increased market volatility due to expectation gaps. Prepare contingency plans in advance to respond to possible sharp fluctuations.