Positive signals have emerged in the news flow. In December, both the comprehensive CPI and core CPI data met expectations, with the core CPI performing even better than expected, showing declines both month-on-month and year-on-year. This is a clear positive signal.
Looking back over the past four months, the central bank has implemented three interest rate cuts. The market will also experience high consumption periods like Christmas, but the December CPI data still did not rebound, indicating that inflationary pressures are indeed easing. This provides support for continued policy adjustments and alleviates many market concerns about monetary policy.
However, caution is needed as the January CPI data still requires observation, which could be the next critical turning point.
Another variable worth paying attention to is the tariff issue. Policy-related verdicts may be announced tomorrow, potentially triggering a short-term market rebound. But it should be noted that the rebound space is limited, and it should not be interpreted as a signal of a return to a bull market.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
8 Likes
Reward
8
4
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
MechanicalMartel
· 01-13 14:56
Interest rate cuts three times but CPI still hasn't rebounded? There's something in this data, but how January will go still remains to be seen.
Wait, the tariff issue will have a result tomorrow? The rebound space is really limited, don't get cut.
Inflation easing is a good thing, but I'm worried that subsequent policies might cause some trouble.
CPI looks positive on the surface, but then gets slapped back by tariffs—this market is really tricky.
After three interest rate cuts, CPI remains stable? We still have to wait until January to see.
Rebound? Friend, I advise you not to overthink it, being cautious is always right.
CPI meeting expectations is useful, but tariffs are the real variable. We'll find out tomorrow.
View OriginalReply0
ApyWhisperer
· 01-13 14:45
Core CPI declines? The central bank might really need to take action now, but I still want to see the January data before making any conclusions.
Is there any news on tariffs tomorrow? I don't believe in a short-term rebound, don't be fooled.
View OriginalReply0
SorryRugPulled
· 01-13 14:38
The decline in core CPI is indeed good, but I just can't believe it can be sustained this time... Let's see in January.
View OriginalReply0
SelfStaking
· 01-13 14:29
Core CPI better than expected, this wave is indeed powerful, but don't be fooled by the short-term rebound. January data will be the real test.
Positive signals have emerged in the news flow. In December, both the comprehensive CPI and core CPI data met expectations, with the core CPI performing even better than expected, showing declines both month-on-month and year-on-year. This is a clear positive signal.
Looking back over the past four months, the central bank has implemented three interest rate cuts. The market will also experience high consumption periods like Christmas, but the December CPI data still did not rebound, indicating that inflationary pressures are indeed easing. This provides support for continued policy adjustments and alleviates many market concerns about monetary policy.
However, caution is needed as the January CPI data still requires observation, which could be the next critical turning point.
Another variable worth paying attention to is the tariff issue. Policy-related verdicts may be announced tomorrow, potentially triggering a short-term market rebound. But it should be noted that the rebound space is limited, and it should not be interpreted as a signal of a return to a bull market.