After analyzing the fundamentals of several listed companies, I want to discuss an interesting phenomenon—everyone dreams of doubling their stock prices, but reality is often quite sobering.

Let's start with the first one. The stock price is 383 yuan, with a total market value of over 380 billion. If it doubles to 768 yuan, the market cap would need to reach 760 billion. The problem is, the company's revenue and profits can't support such a high valuation. So, in the short term, there's no hope of doubling. But that doesn't mean there's no chance at all; if the company is given 8 years to grow, it might still be possible.

Next, the second company. The stock price is a bit over 20 yuan, with a market value of about 75 billion. Doubling would require the market cap to hit 150 billion. The data from the first three quarters clearly shows the issue—revenue of 51.1 billion, but net profit of only 196 million. That profit margin is really too thin. Short-term doubling is almost impossible, but given 10 years, who knows if there's a chance.

The third company is even more interesting. The stock price is 121 yuan, with a market value of over 140 billion. Revenue in the first three quarters was only 3.1 billion, with net profit just over 14 million. For such a scale, doubling the market cap would require it to reach over 280 billion. That's quite a gap. But if the company can achieve a breakthrough in its business and sustain for 12 years, doubling isn't just a dream.

And then there's the fourth company. The stock price is 28 yuan, with a market value of over 90 billion. Revenue of 8.8 billion, net profit a bit over 200 million. Doubling the market cap would mean nearly 190 billion. Similarly, short-term is tough, but over a 10-year span, no one dares to completely dismiss it.

After looking at these four companies, a clear pattern emerges—the current valuations have already capped the short-term doubling opportunities. Everyone must admit that the probability of doubling stock prices within a year is close to zero.

But here's a perspective worth pondering. Look at how investment masters like Buffett operate—many stocks he buys only go up 20% in a year. Sounds unimpressive. But the key is, he holds for ten, twenty years, and the final returns are dozens or even hundreds of times higher. This is the power of compound interest and the victory of long-termism.

In contrast, many domestic retail investors are stuck in the quagmire of short-term trading. Chasing hot topics today, following trends tomorrow—risks are terrifying. They can't make much money, but losses come quickly. Why? Because short-term trading is essentially gambling with time, and time, by its nature, shows no mercy.

The stories of these four companies actually tell us a simple truth—if you truly believe in a company's long-term prospects, you need patience. When the company's business truly takes off, and revenue and profits can support higher valuations, doubling may no longer be a fantasy. But this requires waiting 5, 8, or even 10 years. Most people simply lack this resolve.

The stock market always repeats the same story: some lose everything chasing quick returns, while others slowly grow wealthy through long-term investment. Which path to choose is a personal decision. But the data and facts point to the same answer—if you want to make steady money, you still have to rely on time.