美联储明年 1 月维持利率不变概率达 95%

2026-01-13 13:39:07

火星财经消息，据金十报道，CPI 公布前，根据 CME “美联储观察”，美联储明年 1 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 5%，维持利率不变的概率为 95%。到明年 3 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 24.3%，维持利率不变的概率为 74.6%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 1.1%。

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