#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 U.S. December CPI data is about to be released, and the market has already sensed signals of change.
Let's first look at the signals from previous releases—U.S. December PPI increased by 0.2% month-over-month, below the expected 0.4%; year-over-year growth was 3.3%, also below the market expectation of 3.5%. More notably, core PPI year-over-year was only 3.5%, far below the expected 3.8%. This set of data points to a clear direction: inflation is continuing to gently decline. CME's "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in March has risen to 27.6%, indicating subtle changes in market expectations for policy shifts.
From a technical perspective, let's examine the performance of precious metals. Gold is currently oscillating within the 4570-4600 range, with around 4573 serving as the intraday rebound support level. From a technical standpoint, if this support holds, gold may continue to test the resistance zone at 4600-4610; conversely, if 4570 is broken, the next focus is 4550.
Based on the above analysis, trading strategies can be considered as follows:
**Bearish approach**: Look for entry opportunities in the 4595-4605 range, with a stop-loss set at 4615, and an initial target near 4575. If a breakdown occurs, further targets could be 4550.
**Bullish approach**: Place long positions between 4570-4577, with a stop-loss at 4560, and a target near 4595. If the level is broken, continue to watch for 4615.
The current market is in a phase of data-driven and technical validation. With U.S. CPI imminent, this could be a key catalyst for changing precious metal trends. $BTC Mainstream cryptocurrencies like @ETH are also at critical levels, so pay attention to any adjustments in Federal Reserve policy expectations.
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ThatsNotARugPull
· 01-13 15:40
Is the probability of inflation cooling down and interest rate cuts increasing? Now gold has a good reason to make a move. Before the CPI data is released, everyone is blind.
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LidoStakeAddict
· 01-13 14:02
Inflation is really easing up. If this CPI doesn't surprise to the downside, the expectation of rate cuts will become more solid. The gold market's oscillation between 4570-4600 seems to be waiting for data catalysts, which is a bit boring. On the other hand, BTC and ETH are more interesting; if the Federal Reserve truly shifts to a rate-cutting cycle, that would be the real trigger.
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GateUser-4745f9ce
· 01-13 13:58
Is inflation really soft landing, and are the rate cut expectations about to heat up again? Gold's move depends on CPI figures, but it seems we still need to wait for the data to confirm the direction.
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AirdropFreedom
· 01-13 13:46
Inflation is really easing, and in this case, the expectation of interest rate cuts becomes more realistic... For gold, is it safer to go short at 4595 after this move?
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ThreeHornBlasts
· 01-13 13:40
The signal of cooling inflation is indeed obvious, but starting to cut interest rates before the CPI is released is a bit too optimistic... I think the recent gold fluctuations still depend on the data's mood.
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memecoin_therapy
· 01-13 13:33
The slowdown in inflation is indeed interesting, but before the CPI is released, it's all just clouds. I bet it will still cause some surprises.
#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 U.S. December CPI data is about to be released, and the market has already sensed signals of change.
Let's first look at the signals from previous releases—U.S. December PPI increased by 0.2% month-over-month, below the expected 0.4%; year-over-year growth was 3.3%, also below the market expectation of 3.5%. More notably, core PPI year-over-year was only 3.5%, far below the expected 3.8%. This set of data points to a clear direction: inflation is continuing to gently decline. CME's "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in March has risen to 27.6%, indicating subtle changes in market expectations for policy shifts.
From a technical perspective, let's examine the performance of precious metals. Gold is currently oscillating within the 4570-4600 range, with around 4573 serving as the intraday rebound support level. From a technical standpoint, if this support holds, gold may continue to test the resistance zone at 4600-4610; conversely, if 4570 is broken, the next focus is 4550.
Based on the above analysis, trading strategies can be considered as follows:
**Bearish approach**: Look for entry opportunities in the 4595-4605 range, with a stop-loss set at 4615, and an initial target near 4575. If a breakdown occurs, further targets could be 4550.
**Bullish approach**: Place long positions between 4570-4577, with a stop-loss at 4560, and a target near 4595. If the level is broken, continue to watch for 4615.
The current market is in a phase of data-driven and technical validation. With U.S. CPI imminent, this could be a key catalyst for changing precious metal trends. $BTC Mainstream cryptocurrencies like @ETH are also at critical levels, so pay attention to any adjustments in Federal Reserve policy expectations.